Any possible suprises in Ohio or North Carolina tomorrow?

[Joe Biden 2020]

Indiana has it's own thread, so what about the other two states in the May 4 primaries?  What do you expect from these two states?

[SvenssonRS]

Democratic Primaries: Fisher, narrowly, and Cunningham, in a scrape-by upset.

Republican Primaries: Nope. The party's already practically anointed their candidates.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Richard Burr is safe. Keep an eye on whether Ken Lewis can get enough Black votes to prevent Elaine Marshall from reaching 40% thus forcing a runoff between her and Cal Cunningham. Cunningham has the momentum and if there is a runoff he could beat her with the extra time.

As for Ohio, I would keep an eye on OH-15 and see if Stivers loses the primary to a more conservative candidate.

[Devilman88]

Keep an eye on the NC-6 Republican primary, Coble may lose his primary to Billy Yow. Also, I think Marshall will end up winning by a lager margin then the polls are saying.

In Ohio, it will be a boring night.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Keep an eye on the NC-6 Republican primary, Coble may lose his primary to Billy Yow. Also, I think Marshall will end up winning by a lager margin then the polls are saying.

In Ohio, it will be a boring night.

Coble is safe.

[Devilman88]

Keep an eye on the NC-6 Republican primary, Coble may lose his primary to Billy Yow. Also, I think Marshall will end up winning by a lager margin then the polls are saying.

In Ohio, it will be a boring night.

Coble is safe.

I wouldn't be so sure about that, Billy Yow is a very popular Greensboro City Council Member, and has a very big and strong following in and around the Greensboro area.

[Badger]

Ohio's Auditor's race could be interesting. Delaware County Prosecutor Dave Yost was initially running for A-G and had notable tea party support. After former US Senator Mike DeWine (always hated by the tea party crazy types long before there was a tea party movement--hard to figure as he is very conservative by Ohio standards) jumped in the A-G race the party maneuvered Yost into running for Auditor as the anointed candidate. This teed off the tea party types who are now backing 1st term Dayton suburbs State Rep. Seth Morgan. Polling is all but nonexistent in the race, but conventional wisdom is Morgan could very well pull this off.

There's a GOP primary for Sec. of State too between State Sen Majority Leader Jon Husted and 2006 Treasurer nominee Sandra O'Brien. O'Brien pulled off a primary upset in 06 against the then Lt. Gov. running on a platform of being anti-abortion, anti-gay marriage, and other issues equally relevant to the office of State Treasurer. She's trying the same tack this time, but Husted's institutional backing and sucking up to the tea party will probably see him through.

I don't see Stivers going down to the tea party joke candidate running against him. I'd be thrilled, but... The real upsets of party anointed candidates may come in the 16th and 18th CD GOP primaries.

[Tuck!]

DeWine is pro-gun control, which is an automatic loss in a GOP primary.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Ohio's Auditor's race could be interesting. Delaware County Prosecutor Dave Yost was initially running for A-G and had notable tea party support. After former US Senator Mike DeWine (always hated by the tea party crazy types long before there was a tea party movement--hard to figure as he is very conservative by Ohio standards) jumped in the A-G race the party maneuvered Yost into running for Auditor as the anointed candidate. This teed off the tea party types who are now backing 1st term Dayton suburbs State Rep. Seth Morgan. Polling is all but nonexistent in the race, but conventional wisdom is Morgan could very well pull this off.

There's a GOP primary for Sec. of State too between State Sen Majority Leader Jon Husted and 2006 Treasurer nominee Sandra O'Brien. O'Brien pulled off a primary upset in 06 against the then Lt. Gov. running on a platform of being anti-abortion, anti-gay marriage, and other issues equally relevant to the office of State Treasurer. She's trying the same tack this time, but Husted's institutional backing and sucking up to the tea party will probably see him through.

I don't see Stivers going down to the tea party joke candidate running against him. I'd be thrilled, but... The real upsets of party anointed candidates may come in the 16th and 18th CD GOP primaries.

this, but I would add that a party-backed candidate upset will have far greater general election significence in the 18th than in the 16th

[Bo]

DeWine is pro-gun control, which is an automatic loss in a GOP primary.

Dan Coats also supported some gun control measures, yet he will likely win today's GOP primary (in IN).

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Keep an eye on the NC-6 Republican primary, Coble may lose his primary to Billy Yow. Also, I think Marshall will end up winning by a lager margin then the polls are saying.

In Ohio, it will be a boring night.

Coble is safe.

I wouldn't be so sure about that, Billy Yow is a very popular Greensboro City Council Member, and has a very big and strong following in and around the Greensboro area.

136 of 213 Precincts Reporting - 64%
Max Runoff Cands=2
 Name Party Votes Vote %
 Coble, Howard (i) GOP 20,672 64%
 Yow, Billy GOP 5,343 17%
 Taylor, James GOP 4,393 14%
 Hinson, Cathy GOP 866 3%
 Phillips, Jeff GOP 667 2%
 Mangin, Jon GOP 119 0%

You were saying?
 

[Sam Spade]

Richard Burr is safe. Keep an eye on whether Ken Lewis can get enough Black votes to prevent Elaine Marshall from reaching 40% thus forcing a runoff between her and Cal Cunningham. Cunningham has the momentum and if there is a runoff he could beat her with the extra time.

As for Ohio, I would keep an eye on OH-15 and see if Stivers loses the primary to a more conservative candidate.

Stivers' numbers were actually one of the few impressive ones out there.  83% is pretty strong imo even with joke opponents.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Richard Burr is safe. Keep an eye on whether Ken Lewis can get enough Black votes to prevent Elaine Marshall from reaching 40% thus forcing a runoff between her and Cal Cunningham. Cunningham has the momentum and if there is a runoff he could beat her with the extra time.

As for Ohio, I would keep an eye on OH-15 and see if Stivers loses the primary to a more conservative candidate.

Stivers' numbers were actually one of the few impressive ones out there.  83% is pretty strong imo even with joke opponents.

After some of the Illinois results, I wouldn't be surprised at anything these days. However I agree and its far better then I expected. I think Kilroy is finished in November especially now with this.