CNN Poll: Obama easily beats all of the major Republican candidates...

[Eraserhead]

and Huckabee leads the GOP Primary.

Obama +8 over Romney
Obama +9 over Huckabee
Obama +13 over Palin
Obama +12 over Gingrich

(Those are all among registered voters, Obama's leads expand slightly in every case if all respondents are included.)

GOP Primary:

Huckabee 24%
Romney 20%
Palin 15%
Gingrich 14%
Paul 8%
Santorum 3%
Pawlenty 2%
Pence 2%
Barbour 1%

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/04/13/rel7d.pdf

[Mr. Morden]

favorability / unfavorability among all voters:

http://www.gop12.com/2010/04/cnn-obama-huck-lead-field.html

a. Mike Huckabee 43%/29%

b. Mitt Romney 40%/34%

c. Newt Gingrich 38%/38%

d. Sarah Palin 39%/55%

Obama's unfavorability # (41%) reaches an all time high for him in CNN polling.....but so does Palin's unfavorability (55%).

[Bull Moose Base]

1% has never heard of Democratic Party

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

Uh, where was the Obama vs. Paul head-to-head matchup?

Also Gary Johnson not included at all?

Still 8% is not a bad starting place for Paul in the primaries.

[DS0816]

…
Obama +8 over Romney
Obama +9 over Huckabee
Obama +13 over Palin
Obama +12 over Gingrich … 

Given that Barack Obama won the 2008 popular vote over John McCain by 7.26%, let's add an additional 3–5 more points for the re-election margins: 11–13 points over Romney; 12–14 points over Huckabee; 15–17 points over Gingrich; 16–18 points over Palin.

That would be the following, 2008–2012 re-election–Obama–Democratic margins shift: 3.75–5.75 points (McCain–Romney); 4.75–6.75 points (McCain–Huckabee); 7.75–9.75 (McCain–Gingrich); 8.75–10.75 (McCain–Palin).

(I believe Romney remains overestimated.)

[Rowan]

And I will guarantee that the PPP national poll this week will show the matchups much closer.

[You kip if you want to...]

The only Republican that Obama seems to struggle against is Senator "Generic Republican". :/

And I will guarantee that the PPP national poll this week will show the matchups much closer.

Yes, that's a given.

[pbrower2a]

and Huckabee leads the GOP Primary.

Obama +8 over Romney
Obama +9 over Huckabee
Obama +13 over Palin
Obama +12 over Gingrich

(Those are all among registered voters, Obama's leads expand slightly in every case if all respondents are included.)

GOP Primary:

Huckabee 24%
Romney 20%
Palin 15%
Gingrich 14%
Paul 8%
Santorum 3%
Pawlenty 2%
Pence 2%
Barbour 1%

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/04/13/rel7d.pdf

50/50 election, Obama versus his mirror image (R, unknown):

Obama must win one of Florida, Ohio, or Virginia or both of Colorado and Nevada lest he lose. He won't win more than one of the three states that clinch and one of Colorado and Nevada, and he could lose every one of them.

Obama vs. Romney, 54-46:

Romney fares slightly better in the Rust Belt than did Obama -- well enough perhaps to flip Indiana -- but worse almost everywhere else. Texas gets close, but I see no reason to believe that Romney would do well with evangelical voters in Kentucky, Tennessee, or West Virginia.

Obama vs. Huckabee, 54-46

I  equalize Huckabee and Romney to show differences of the "flavor" of the Presidential election:

Huckabee fares far better than Romney among fundamentalist and evangelical voters in the South, but worse everywhere else -- like Hispanic voters in the Mountain West. Georgia, Missouri, and South Carolina become iffy; Huckabee loses the Dakotas and Indiana and makes no inroads into North Carolina or Virginia.   Georgia and South Carolina depend upon the military vote.


Obama vs. Palin, 60-40

The more that people see of her, the more they will dislike her. She would go down to a Landon/McGovern/Mondale defeat except that America still has lots of people who would never vote for a black man.

Sarah Palin does well enough among those people who would never vote for any Democrat, who would never vote for any black person, and low-information voters, but that is it. I think that she would fare about as well as Goldwater in 1964, which is even worse than this map shows. She would lose Texas and set up a landslide in electoral votes.  I have colored Utah white because she is callow enough to say something that would offend Mormons and cause them to "show her and the GOP" that LDS sensibilities are not to be challenged.
  
Gingrich is hard to figure. He has practically no exposure as a campaigner for even a statewide election. He is more "thoughtful" than other GOP candidates, but Obama is stronger at that suit. I can't come up with a map because I can't identify any particular strengths or weaknesses.
  

The key for the maps is margins: red for the Democrat, blue for the Republican, deep colors for over 10% margins, medium for 5-9.9% margins. pale for margins under 5%, and white for iffy.

[BlueSwan]

The only Republican that Obama seems to struggle against is Senator "Generic Republican". :/

A formidable opponent indeed!

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

The only Republican that Obama seems to struggle against is Senator "Generic Republican". :/

Or Mr. very un-Generic Republican, Ron Paul.

[Vepres]

The only Republican that Obama seems to struggle against is Senator "Generic Republican". :/

A formidable opponent indeed!

I saw him interviewed the other day and it was as if we had the exact same thoughts!

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

That means nothing. At this moment, polls means nothing.

Also Gary Johnson not included at all?

Sorry to dissapoint you, Libertas, but Johnson is not considered important player by anyone except few hacks.

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

That means nothing. At this moment, polls means nothing.

Also Gary Johnson not included at all?

Sorry to dissapoint you, Libertas, but Johnson is not considered important player by anyone except few hacks.

Sorry, Kalwejt, but I don't go to you for advice about U.S. politics.

[xavier110]

The only Republican that Obama seems to struggle against is Senator "Generic Republican". :/

Or Mr. very un-Generic Republican, Ron Paul.

Do you honestly think Rasmussen would show Obama ahead of the other Republicans but not Ron Paul?

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

The only Republican that Obama seems to struggle against is Senator "Generic Republican". :/

Or Mr. very un-Generic Republican, Ron Paul.

Do you honestly think Rasmussen would show Obama ahead of the other Republicans but not Ron Paul?

The 2012 race will be determined by independents, and that is Ron Paul's strong suit.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

That means nothing. At this moment, polls means nothing.

Also Gary Johnson not included at all?

Sorry to dissapoint you, Libertas, but Johnson is not considered important player by anyone except few hacks.

Sorry, Kalwejt, but I don't go to you for advice about U.S. politics.

Sorry, Libertas, but is you want a Libertarian Republican, who's at least viable and is not total bore, that's Ron Paul, not Gary Johnson, for whom 90% of people don't care at all and whose only notablity was being Governor of New Mexico some 300 years ago.