2000: Jeb Bush vs. Al Gore (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  2000: Jeb Bush vs. Al Gore (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2000: Jeb Bush vs. Al Gore  (Read 1283 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
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*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« on: March 16, 2010, 11:40:14 AM »

You pick the VPs. Everything else stays the same. Discuss, with maps.
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2010, 07:47:41 PM »

How about if Bush beat Chiles in 1994, and W only won in 1998?

In that case, Jeb wins in 2000.
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2010, 08:57:35 PM »


Give one Maine EV to Jeb and MI to Gore and I would agree. What do you think the map will look like if Jeb lost in 1994 and only won in 1998?
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2010, 09:25:38 PM »


Give one Maine EV to Jeb and MI to Gore and I would agree. What do you think the map will look like if Jeb lost in 1994 and only won in 1998?

Yeah, I was really iffy about MI, the only one I wasn't sure about.

If he had just won in 98 I couldn't see him getting out of the primaries, and who know what the dynamics of that campaign would have been...too many variables...


I guess you're right. I think mcCain would have probably defeated Jeb if he ran in 2000 with only 2 years of gubernatorial experience. Of course, many conservatives who vote in the primaries don't care about experience, but I still think enough support would ahve flipped to McCain to push him over the top in the primaries. I also think that in this case McCain would then proceed to defeat Gore in the general election in a Clintonesque landslide. Still, if Jeb somehow won the GOP nomination in 2000 with only 2 years of experience, I think Gore would ahve defeated him in a Clintonesque landslide.
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