Give one Maine EV to Jeb and MI to Gore and I would agree. What do you think the map will look like if Jeb lost in 1994 and only won in 1998?
Yeah, I was really iffy about MI, the only one I wasn't sure about.
If he had just won in 98 I couldn't see him getting out of the primaries, and who know what the dynamics of that campaign would have been...too many variables...
I guess you're right. I think mcCain would have probably defeated Jeb if he ran in 2000 with only 2 years of gubernatorial experience. Of course, many conservatives who vote in the primaries don't care about experience, but I still think enough support would ahve flipped to McCain to push him over the top in the primaries. I also think that in this case McCain would then proceed to defeat Gore in the general election in a Clintonesque landslide. Still, if Jeb somehow won the GOP nomination in 2000 with only 2 years of experience, I think Gore would ahve defeated him in a Clintonesque landslide.