MA Senate - Special Election Results thread

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/2008/articles/2010/01/20/browns_victory_gives_republicans_surge_of_renewed_confidence/?page=2

[Lunar]

http://politics.theatlantic.com/2010/01/this_is_how_a_good_victory_speech_reads.php

[J. J.]

I admit it - I was wrong last week when I said he didn't have a chance.

I said Coakley over the weekend.

Okay, Fox reported lower Black turnout.  Can anyone confirm that?

[Associate Justice PiT]

     Well I must admit that I didn't expect Brown to actually pull it out.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I'm watching the FOX rerun of earlier - I just saw (for the 2nd time) Ayla Brown (Scott's daughter) pull a marker out of her bra to sign a picture.

[Magic 8-Ball]

I'm watching the FOX rerun of earlier - I just saw (for the 2nd time) Ayla Brown (Scott's daughter) pull a marker out of her bra to sign a picture.

Nip slip, by any chance?

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I'm watching the FOX rerun of earlier - I just saw (for the 2nd time) Ayla Brown (Scott's daughter) pull a marker out of her bra to sign a picture.

Nip slip, by any chance?

No, but apparently somebody's got a copy on YouTube already.  It's weird - I happened to see it on FOX twice - the first time live and the second time just now.

http://www.twitter4groups.com//rta/a/view?f=aHR0cDovL2RpZ2cuY29tL3Blb3BsZS9BeWxhX0Jyb3duX01hc3NfU2VuYXRvcl9kYXVnaHRlcl9kaWdnaW5nX2luX2hlcl9ib29icw==

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

I'm watching the FOX rerun of earlier - I just saw (for the 2nd time) Ayla Brown (Scott's daughter) pull a marker out of her bra to sign a picture.

i noticed that also on the rerun, she's definitely a wildcard, flies by the seat of her dress

[Magic 8-Ball]

I'm watching the FOX rerun of earlier - I just saw (for the 2nd time) Ayla Brown (Scott's daughter) pull a marker out of her bra to sign a picture.

Nip slip, by any chance?

No

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yeah, it's strange how quickly people update Wikipedia and upload videos to YouTube.  Nerds.

[Torie]

I'm watching the FOX rerun of earlier - I just saw (for the 2nd time) Ayla Brown (Scott's daughter) pull a marker out of her bra to sign a picture.

I don't think that infra dig myself. Some of you youngs are just so straight laced.  Where did the late 60's go?  Long time passing.

[Sam Spade]

I'm watching the FOX rerun of earlier - I just saw (for the 2nd time) Ayla Brown (Scott's daughter) pull a marker out of her bra to sign a picture.

I don't think that infra dig myself. Some of you youngs are just so straight laced.  Where did the late 60's go?  Long time passing.

Agreed.  Also agree with jmfcst on the hotness of the daughter in black (and at least it's less strange coming from me  )

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I'm watching the FOX rerun of earlier - I just saw (for the 2nd time) Ayla Brown (Scott's daughter) pull a marker out of her bra to sign a picture.

I don't think that infra dig myself. Some of you youngs are just so straight laced.  Where did the late 60's go?  Long time passing.

Agreed.  Also agree with jmfcst on the hotness of the daughter in black (and at least it's less strange coming from me  )

Oh, I didn't mind - I just found it odd to do at a campaign victory speech.

[Franzl]

Well congratulations Democrats, you're the only party in the world that can hold every branch of government and a supermajority in the upper house....and still  up your agenda.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Middlesex County ended up just like Bergen Co in NJ a swing County we thought the GOP candidate would need to win, who lead in for most of the night but had slip away at the end and end up not being so important to the Republican after all.

I am surprised that Worcester went so Republican. I was expected 55-45 in that county not 60-40. among other surprises, who would have thought that the city whose machine kept Jim Ogonoski out of the House would end up going to Brown by 5 points? 

[Sam Spade]

Request - Can I get a county/town template for Massachusetts?  I'd like to at least make a county map tonight..  Thanks!

[Sam Spade]

Alright -looks like I'm not going to get any help tonight and going to bed, so if someone wants to input the preliminary figures.

I'm kind of old-school and calculate by hand everything.  Coakley's number is off by about 100 votes somewhere in my maths, but it won't matter to the map:

County tonight/Town tomorrow

County	Brown	Brown%	Coakley	Coakley%	Total Votes
Barnstable	59,990	57.41%	43,609	41.73%	104,500
Berkshire	13,294	30.50%	29,847	68.48%	43,584
Bristol	93,474	56.01%	71,493	42.84%	166,897
Dukes	2,641	34.10%	4,915	63.45%	7,746
Essex	143,897	56.53%	108,354	42.57%	254,556
Franklin	9,876	35.73%	17,318	62.65%	27,644
Hampden	71,641	54.52%	57,813	44.00%	131,404
Hampshire	21,107	37.30%	34,770	61.45%	56,585
Middlesex	259,768	47.43%	283,259	51.72%	547,654
Nantucket	2,032	48.05%	2,139	50.58%	4,229
Norfolk	152,784	55.56%	120,041	43.65%	274,979
Plymouth	119,979	62.77%	69,565	36.39%	191,143
Suffolk	57,350	32.78%	115,834	66.22%	174,931
Worcester	160,274	60.90%	99,803	37.92%	263,164

[Guderian]

dang, his daughters are good looking

I totally just sent some Facebook friend requests.

On the serious note, congratulations to Scott Brown on a perfectly executed political campaign. Two weeks ago when Rasmussen had him 50-41 down, that poll seemed too generous to him and yet he's now a US Senator-elect. At least once the old adage about favorite being vulnerable if he/she can't clear 50% in polls proved to be true.

Of course, Brown was helped by Coakley going auto-pilot too early and by general voter dissatisfaction with Washington Democrats, but still he deserves a huge hat tip. Whoever managed his campaign should be getting calls from Republican 2012 contenders ASAP.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

dang, his daughters are good looking

Pics or GTFO

ain't no flies on those girls

[ajc0918]

dang, his daughters are good looking

Pics or GTFO

ain't no flies on those girls

lmao.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Thats Lynch's right?

Yes.

Um... working class Bay Staters hate a black?

No. But I think you need to understand the extent to which much of the traditional 'ethnic' working class is (for now) no longer loyal to either party; they've been totally excluded from the political process for decades and have, it appears, finally noticed (we can probably date this from 2006, actually. Why, it may even be possible that the some of pattern of support for Clinton in the primaries reflected disillusion with politics-as-usual as much as the pattern of support for Obama).
This isn't unprecendented of course; the same was true of the 1970s and early 1980s. The voters that sunk Coakley last night are the same sort (in some cases almost certainly the same ones) that did for Carter in 1980 and then swung violently against congressional Republicans in 1982. Which of course doesn't mean that mean we can say that Obama will meet Carter's fate or anything like that, but it does mean that the Democratic Party has to wake up unless it wants to suffer huge losses later in the year.

I mean, there's a limit to the amount that you can extract from by-elections (or special elections or whatever), but sometimes certain patterns are too striking to be ignored.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Screw you, Massachusetts.

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

Screw you, Massachusetts.

Yay, Massachusetts.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Screw you, Massachusetts.

Yay, Massachusetts.

Enjoy rare moment, my friend, because you will not get it ever again

[Linus Van Pelt]

Folks - take a second to study those Clinton-Obama 2008 numbers and this election and tell me what you see....  I know Al already sees it.

Democrats had better pay attention.  

Clintonistas bailed in large numbers?  That is hardly shocking.

Working-class revolt centered against those in power.

It will take some work to see the differential swings to see just who "revolted" the most, and by how much. What we do know, is that academic areas, and rich liberal areas, hardly revolted at all vis a vis Obama.  Some, but not much, relatively speaking, as to the rich liberal areas.

The New York Times has a swing map by town (from 2008 presidential) this morning:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/01/19/us/politics/massachusetts-election-map.html?hp

I don't want to get into another class-definition argument, but what the map suggests to me is that much as we like to pay attention to ye olde mill towns , the Dems have at least as much of a problem is in sort of lower-middle areas - the "exurbs" and the like, where people have never been too loyal to either party.

[cinyc]

I admit it - I was wrong last week when I said he didn't have a chance.

I said Coakley over the weekend.

Okay, Fox reported lower Black turnout.  Can anyone confirm that?

I already did.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=109228.msg2323757#msg2323757