2012 Prediction Map

[pbrower2a]

Since when has a "30% chance" been a high likelihood?
The chances of Nebraska splitting it's electoral votes are about the same as Minnesota voting for the GOP candidate, if not worse.

My criterion is  one electoral vote -- typically the Second Congressional District, a/k/a Greater Omaha, which went to President Obama in 2008. Omaha may be more conservative than most American large cities.

Indiana doesn't vote for the Democratic nominee, either... whoops!

 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I took CO, NV and NH off because I believe the Republican nominee will be Romney and he will do about the same as Bush did in those states in 2012.

I believe if its Mitt Romney and the economy don't surplus jubs it will be a 51-48 victory for Mitt Romney.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem in 2012 is that the Dems will have trouble because Joe Biden doesn't carry electoral strength besides PA and DEL.  He is true a more conservative Democrat than Barack but he is still a liberal.

And when people don't want their taxes raise in the current ecoomic condition, it will be hard for the Democratic liberal ticket to win.

[pbrower2a]

Playing it safe:

Texas was about as far from going Democratic as Pennsylvania was from going Democratic Republican.

Uh...PA is far more likely to go Democratic than Texas, unless I'm missing something....

I think it was a typo and he meant Pennsylvania going Republican.

Yes.

[All Along The Watchtower]

Here's my prediction map.

Obama wins 342-196.

[California8429]

who's the inde?

[tarheel-leftist85]

TBD.  I hope™ that it's a leftist-populist candidate (economically-leftist, culturally neutral), perhaps a woman.  Ideally, Prof. Elizabeth Warren and Dr. Margaret Flowers.  Many women feel slighted from 2008, what with the loser of the Democratic primaries being anointed the winner by the insurance-exec. chaired Rules & Bylaws Cmte.  Even though many women don't necessarily like Palin, they don't necessarily like the condescension Obama/Dems seem to have towards women.  Maybe being pro-woman means more than being pro-abortion.  Anyway, Warren/Flowers have a knack for engaging people in accessible policy discussion.  Obama™'s pseudo-intellect is wearing thin on people, the veil has been lifted, and people realize that he and the entirety of both legacy parties are shills for banksters, insurance/pharma, mercenaries, telecom, etc.  Both extract rents from the public through govt. compulsion (not big gummint).

Here's Prof. Warren on the two-income trap and the end of the middle class:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=akVL7QY0S8A

who's the inde?