Could we ever see another revolving door of Presidents?
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  Could we ever see another revolving door of Presidents?
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Author Topic: Could we ever see another revolving door of Presidents?  (Read 1933 times)
ShadowRocket
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« on: December 20, 2009, 01:11:37 PM »

What I mean by that is something like the time between 1876 and 1900 where every President in office during that period either lost reelection or wasn't even renominated by their own party.

If the country ever did again fall into that kind of pattern again, I doubt it would last for 24 years, but could we ever see several one-term Presidents in a row ever again? The thought that maybe we could seeing something like that over the next few election cycles has passed my mind with Obama's own poll numbers sliding and growing dissatisfaction with both parties.
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Bo
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« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2009, 01:39:37 PM »

We could, but probably not in the next several decades.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2009, 04:56:48 PM »

It's possible - Obama 2009-2013, Republican 2013-2017, Democrat 2017-2021. It's unlikely ever to happen for such a long strech of time though. It would have to coincide with an insurmountable, perennial problem.
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Bo
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« Reply #3 on: December 20, 2009, 05:20:24 PM »

Between 1961 and 1981, there was a revolving door of Presidents, or as close to one as possible. JFK was 3 years, LBJ 5 years, Nixon 5.5 yrs., Ford 2.5 yrs., & Carter 4 years. That is 4 years on average for each President.
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muon2
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« Reply #4 on: December 20, 2009, 11:39:49 PM »

It is interesting that the partisanship and balance today are more like the late 1800's than any period in the 20th C. In presidential elections, consider that Clinton won neither election with over 50% of the vote, nor did Bush 43 in his first term, and he easily could have lost his second term if OH flipped. Had Kerry won in 2004, the housing bust and credit collapse would likely have brought down his reelection. It is not inconceivable that the last 20 years could have been a series of one-term presidents, but politics gave us two-term presidents instead.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: December 21, 2009, 09:01:45 AM »

In the 20th, reelecting a president in terms of mediocre presidents like Nixon or Clinton was like if you vote against the incumbant you aren't establishing continuity.

But I think in 2012, I think people have changed that way of thinking and now if you vote against the incumbant you want change.

The same change message, to some extent will play out in 2012 if the unemployment rate remains above eight percent.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #6 on: December 21, 2009, 11:07:24 AM »

Certainly not impossible.

Though renomination has become much easier than back then (mostly because Presidents are stronger in the first place).
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #7 on: December 21, 2009, 12:08:17 PM »

Between 1961 and 1981, there was a revolving door of Presidents, or as close to one as possible. JFK was 3 years, LBJ 5 years, Nixon 5.5 yrs., Ford 2.5 yrs., & Carter 4 years. That is 4 years on average for each President.

That doesn't totally work though - Kennedy was killed, LBJ and Nixon were reelected, and Ford barely lost - only Carter was totally thrown out by the voters.
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Free Palestine
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« Reply #8 on: December 21, 2009, 08:51:06 PM »

It's unlikely as long as the president continues to be the "leader of the free world," well-respected with immense power.
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