In the Next Fifteen Years...

[Psychic Octopus]

Will the United States go to war with one or more of these countries in the next fifteen years?

If so, who is the most likely, and do you think it will happen?

[Vepres]

Nope. The era of two or more powers fighting is over. I could see a few small nation-building wars after terrorists, but not against these countries. At this point, fiscal policy and economic activity is more important than the acquisition of resources or land.

[Psychic Octopus]

Nope. The era of two or more powers fighting is over. I could see a few small nation-building wars after terrorists, but not against these countries. At this point, fiscal policy and economic activity is more important than the acquisition of resources or land.

I agree with you on fiscal policy overtaking military matters in terms of global importance, but
the first part about the era of two powers fighting one another is a bit too bold and optimistic, at least in my opinion.

[Хahar 🤔]

None. You listed Russia twice.

Conventional war is over in the First World.

[jokerman]

Nope. The era of two or more powers fighting is over. I could see a few small nation-building wars after terrorists, but not against these countries. At this point, fiscal policy and economic activity is more important than the acquisition of resources or land.

I agree with you on fiscal policy overtaking military matters in terms of global importance, but
the first part about the era of two powers fighting one another is a bit too bold and optimistic, at least in my opinion.

I don't think it has anything to do with optimism; merely, widespread proliferation of nuclear weapons and long-range missile technology has made conventional warfare obsolete for confrontations between developed powers.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

None, and Iran is the only one with a >5% chance of any sort of military conflict.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Iran is most likely, followed by North Korea. The others are pretty unlikely.

[Antonio the Sixth]

If we'll do this, we'll be really supid...

[Hash]

If we'll do this, we'll be really supid...

Who be "we"?

[Antonio the Sixth]

If we'll do this, we'll be really supid...

Who be "we"?

The "western block" is gonna follow the USA once again... And so we'll be all responsible of the disaster we'll cause.

[Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]]

If Iran doesn't change I wonder how the military conflict will be avoided next year. Though developments are occurring these days, to follow...

[Marokai Backbeat]

None, and I concur with Vepres, the era of two serious powers lining up their army men on opposing sides is over, as pretty much any war the US will ever fight again will be very tactical and precise. Massive combat like World War II or the Korean War is a thing of the past.

[k-onmmunist]

None, and I concur with Vepres, the era of two serious powers lining up their army men on opposing sides is over, as pretty much any war the US will ever fight again will be very tactical and precise. Massive combat like World War II or the Korean War is a thing of the past.

I agree with the none part, and I'm inclined to agree that massive combat is over.

[dead0man]

..and WWI was the war to end all wars.

Two first world powers lining up is very unlikely at this point, but we could certainly see a Korean War like engagements in the future.  For example, a fight between China and a non-western power.  They ain't building carriers to project power to the Spratly Islands.

[Хahar 🤔]

..and WWI was the war to end all wars.

Two first world powers lining up is very unlikely at this point, but we could certainly see a Korean War like engagements in the future.  For example, a fight between China and a non-western power.  They ain't building carriers to project power to the Spratly Islands.

Conventional war isn't ended. But no superpower will in the foreseeable future bring its full military weight to bear anywhere.

[Vepres]

Nope. The era of two or more powers fighting is over. I could see a few small nation-building wars after terrorists, but not against these countries. At this point, fiscal policy and economic activity is more important than the acquisition of resources or land.

I agree with you on fiscal policy overtaking military matters in terms of global importance, but
the first part about the era of two powers fighting one another is a bit too bold and optimistic, at least in my opinion.

I disagree. Even nut-jobs like Kim Jung Il know that a full scale war between military powers would quickly turn into a nuclear war, which could potentially kill off humanity. Besides, why risk the lives of your people when you can remove the capital gains tax and get the world's largest corporations manufacturing products in your country?