2010 General Election prediction

[afleitch]

The general election is now, at most 10 months away. What do you feel the result will be? I may run these every month or so.

Also please predict the following:

Party vote shares
Con-
Lab-
Lib-

Number of SNP seats -
Number of Plaid Cymru Seats -


Winners in the following seats;

Birmingham Selly Oak -
Bury South -
Crewe and Nantwich -
Edinburgh South West -
Kingston and Surbiton -
Stirling-
Shipley-
Sunderland Central-
Torbay-
Vale of Clywd-

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

The general election is now, at most 10 months away. What do you feel the result will be? I may run these every month or so.

Also please predict the following:

Oooh, I'll have a go at some of these.

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Bury South 2001 was the first election I ever cast a vote in.  It should be close, but I think Ivan Lewis may have just enough to hold on.  This is one of the country's most Jewish seats - Lewis is Jewish, not sure if the Tory PPC is.  Local election results have been appalling for Labour here.

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Labour should get their act together here after losing the by-election.  Crewe will outvote Nantwich and Labour will oust Edward Timpson.

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Alastair Darling, definitely not my favourite of the current crop of Cabinet ministers.  Much as I would like to see him out on his ear, I think his name recognition will save him and he will be back in the Commons by the skin of his teeth.

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The Tories didn't perform well in 2007 in the Stirling seat.

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If Sunderland Central is close then Cameron should be the next PM.

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[Harry Hayfield]

The general election is now, at most 10 months away. What do you feel the result will be? I may run these every month or so.

Also please predict the following:

Party vote shares
Con- 44%
Lab- 21%
Lib- 24%

Number of SNP seats - 9
Number of Plaid Cymru Seats - 4

Winners in the following seats;

Birmingham Selly Oak - Con GAIN from Lab
Bury South - Con GAIN from Lab
Crewe and Nantwich - Con GAIN from Lab
Edinburgh South West - Con GAIN from Lab
Kingston and Surbiton - Lib Dem HOLD
Stirling- SNP GAIN from Lab
Shipley- Con GAIN from Lab
Sunderland Central- Lab HOLD
Torbay- Con GAIN from Lib Dem
Vale of Clywd- Con GAN from Lab

[Јas]

What do you feel the result will be?

Conservative Majority 50-100

Party vote shares
Con- 41
Lab- 28
Lib- 20

Number of SNP seats - 12
Number of Plaid Cymru Seats - 6

Winners in the following seats
Birmingham Selly Oak
Bury South
Crewe and Nantwich
Edinburgh South West
Kingston and Surbiton
Stirling
Shipley
Sunderland Central
Torbay
Vale of Clywd