who will win the popular vote?
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Question: who will win the popular vote?
#1
Obama		  
#2
McCain		  
#3
other		  
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Total Voters: 36

Author Topic: who will win the popular vote?  (Read 1242 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: July 13, 2008, 01:19:17 AM »
who will win the popular vote?
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Lunar
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« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2008, 01:27:08 AM »
Only less than 5% or so of forum predictions have different popular and electoral vote winners, right?  This seems like an odd question to ask without further contextualization ("assuming that the popular vote winner is different from the electoral one, who has probably won the popular vote?").  Basically this is going to be no different result-wise than simply asking who we think is going to win.

Does the system favor Obama electorally?  I'm sort of confused about this myself.  He seems to be doing well in useless states like Wyoming and Texas and his dreams could be shattered relatively easily but only winning a few Bush states back from '04 but not Ohio.   Yet, Obama also has many more electoral paths to victory than McCain does and is less on the defense electorally.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2008, 01:28:11 AM »
don't overthink it bro.  I'm just asking a question, not trying to stab you in the back.
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Boris
boris78
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« Reply #3 on: July 13, 2008, 01:29:40 AM »
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on June 01, 2008, 07:57:57 PM
it would be an embarrassing spectacle for America's "left-wing" party if Obama did not win so therefore I voted for him.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2008, 11:18:57 AM »
Obama.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #5 on: July 13, 2008, 11:35:18 AM »
Obama, by 2-3 points.

But that doesn't necessarily mean he is going win the electoral vote. Tongue
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: July 13, 2008, 11:42:03 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on July 13, 2008, 11:35:18 AM
Obama, by 2-3 points.

But that doesn't necessarily mean he is going win the electoral vote. Tongue

That's true, but right now I see a McCain PV win/EV loss as more likely than one for Obama.

I voted Obama.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #7 on: July 13, 2008, 11:49:43 AM »
« Edited: July 13, 2008, 12:07:08 PM by Ronnie »
Quote from: Alcon on July 13, 2008, 11:42:03 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on July 13, 2008, 11:35:18 AM
Obama, by 2-3 points.

But that doesn't necessarily mean he is going win the electoral vote. Tongue

That's true, but right now I see a McCain PV win/EV loss as more likely than one for Obama.

I voted Obama.

Yeah, I know.  Though, I can't see McCain doing better than Obama in red states other than maybe LA.
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Ban my account ffs!
snowguy716
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« Reply #8 on: July 13, 2008, 12:25:53 PM »
I can't say... my view is biased, because of where my views lie, but also because a healthy majority of my fellow brethren here in northern Minnesota are supporting the senator from Illinois.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #9 on: July 13, 2008, 03:32:38 PM »

Was Naso the only one who voted for McCain?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: July 13, 2008, 03:44:16 PM »
Probably that black character.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #11 on: July 13, 2008, 04:01:02 PM »
I think McCain will do quite well after the Republican Convention, coming out with a net 2% advantage in the poll that holds until election day.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #12 on: July 13, 2008, 04:10:19 PM »
The Negro.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #13 on: July 13, 2008, 04:20:01 PM »
Obama by 6
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #14 on: July 13, 2008, 04:25:47 PM »
Wow, McCain supporters sure are pessimistic.
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