Texas Suburban Counties Political Trends
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Author Topic: Texas Suburban Counties Political Trends  (Read 3093 times)
Very Legal & Very Cool
RFA09
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« Reply #25 on: December 23, 2018, 07:23:20 AM »

Republicans are done for good by simple demographics. They don't even try.
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #26 on: December 23, 2018, 08:05:44 AM »

Yeah. Dems would be dumb as sh**t to not contest Texas in 2020. It’s not like Trump’s going to do much better than Cruz did

Why? It was a D+8 year. If you believe Trump's gonna lose by a similar margin, then by all means go for it.

That's not to say I disregard the D-trend in Texas' big counties. If the GOP doesn't get its act together, they might lose them for good and TX might be in play as soon as 2024.
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Very Legal & Very Cool
RFA09
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« Reply #27 on: December 23, 2018, 08:06:49 AM »

Yeah. Dems would be dumb as sh**t to not contest Texas in 2020. It’s not like Trump’s going to do much better than Cruz did

Why? It was a D+8 year. If you believe Trump's gonna lose by a similar margin, then by all means go for it.

That's not to say I disregard the D-trend in Texas' big counties. If the GOP doesn't get its act together, they might lose them for good and TX might be in play as soon as 2024.

2020 you mean
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Thunder98
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« Reply #28 on: December 23, 2018, 10:52:53 AM »
« Edited: December 26, 2018, 11:23:26 PM by Nikki Haley 2020 »

Yeah. Dems would be dumb as sh**t to not contest Texas in 2020. It’s not like Trump’s going to do much better than Cruz did

Why? It was a D+8 year. If you believe Trump's gonna lose by a similar margin, then by all means go for it.

That's not to say I disregard the D-trend in Texas' big counties. If the GOP doesn't get its act together, they might lose them for good and TX might be in play as soon as 2024.

Because when even someone like Greg Abbott wins by 13 points against a joker candidate that kinda signals that this ain’t the Texas we knew anymore. I still think Trump is more likely than not to win again (both Texas and the election), but I doubt he wins Texas by anywhere near 9% again. You think Trump-O’Rourke places like Hays and Williamson counties are gonna come running back to Trump? I don’t. It seems it’s mostly new voters driving these changes in these metro counties, not so much persuasion

I think Trump wins TX by 1.5%-3% in 2020.
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