Which of the following Senate seats will the GOP win?
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  Which of the following Senate seats will the GOP win?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: 28 day poll
#1
AZ		  
#2
CO		  
#3
FL		  
#4
GA		  
#5
IA		  
#6
IL		  
#7
NC		  
#8
NH		  
#9
NV		  
#10
OH		  
#11
PA		  
#12
UT		  
#13
WI		  
#14
None of the above		  
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Total Voters: 39

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Author Topic: Which of the following Senate seats will the GOP win?  (Read 638 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« on: September 06, 2022, 01:00:14 PM »
I am voting for Iowa. Many of the others are tossups (or lean R) like Florida and Ohio, and UTAH is likely GOP, but McMullin may have a small chance in UTAH.

It seems likely maybe even very likely that the Democrats will win at least 50 seats.
The Democrats could even win 53 seats, at this point.

It's a shame that their (the Ds) chances to hold the House don't look good at this point, but surprises do happen.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2022, 01:01:37 PM »
Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, Nevada, Utah, and Wisconsin.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2022, 01:09:00 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on September 06, 2022, 01:01:37 PM
Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, Nevada, Utah, and Wisconsin.
That would mean no change, the Democrats would remain in control with a 50-50 Senate and the VP casting the deciding vote, although I believe that you already know that.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2022, 01:12:38 PM »
In order of likelihood:

UT (Safe R)
IA (Safe R)

FL (Safe R)
OH (Safe R)



NC (Likely R)



WI (Lean R)

NV (Tilt R)
AZ (Tilt R)

GA (Toss-Up)
PA (Tilt D)


NH (Lean D)





CO (Likely D)




IL (Safe D)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2022, 01:26:52 PM »
Quote from: Xing on September 06, 2022, 01:12:38 PM
In order of likelihood:

UT (Safe R)
IA (Safe R)

FL (Safe R)
OH (Safe R)



NC (Likely R)



WI (Lean R)

NV (Tilt R)
AZ (Tilt R)

GA (Toss-Up)
PA (Tilt D)


NH (Lean D)





CO (Likely D)




IL (Safe D)

Lol we just won AK, Wzi isn't Lean R you said KY Gov was Lean R, OH isn't safe R EITHER

You will find out in EDay when BARNES win
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2022, 01:37:13 PM »
Not very realistic, but maybe fun for some people:

https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-simulation/
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2022, 01:38:05 PM »
1. NV
2. NH if Morse wins primary(which I doubt) Otherwise, AZ
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2022, 03:20:04 PM »
« Edited: September 06, 2022, 03:29:18 PM by Official Penguin Books Account »
Voted for all except NH/CO/IL and PA. AZ remains a toss-up and GA does too, though with massive upside for Warnock in the event of a Walker meltdown. I suppose you can also call NV a toss-up with significantly more Republican upside than the reverse.


I got a far more generous R+4 using this. Still possible but very unlikely they win both NH and PA, I think. Fun mostly because it gives a sense in how the networks will report the night chronologically.
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2022, 05:39:18 PM »
AZ, FL, GA, IA, NC, NV, OH, UT and WI   
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #9 on: September 06, 2022, 05:41:39 PM »
FL, IA, NV, NC, OH, UT, WI
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