FL-Suffolk: Biden trails DeSantis by 8, Trump by 3
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 07, 2024, 03:34:04 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  FL-Suffolk: Biden trails DeSantis by 8, Trump by 3		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL-Suffolk: Biden trails DeSantis by 8, Trump by 3  (Read 1427 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 01, 2022, 10:03:46 AM »
52% Ron DeSantis (R)
44% Joe Biden (D-inc.)

47% Donald Trump (R)
44% Joe Biden (D-inc.)

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/02/01/poll-biden-struggling-florida-2024/9282357002/
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,022


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2022, 10:12:19 AM »
I think it's hilarious that the poll is titled "Joe Biden is struggling in FL..." as if he went from winning the state to now losing it.

Given that he lost by nearly 4% in 2020, down by 8 in a bad environment for him against DeSantis isn't really as awful as it could be.
Logged
Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,106
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2022, 10:35:01 AM »
Wow, now I'm start to see the real case for DeSantis running (and winning) against Trump. It's gonna be fun!
Logged
Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,106
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2022, 10:37:29 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on February 01, 2022, 10:12:19 AM
I think it's hilarious that the poll is titled "Joe Biden is struggling in FL..." as if he went from winning the state to now losing it.

Given that he lost by nearly 4% in 2020, down by 8 in a bad environment for him against DeSantis isn't really as awful as it could be.

Agree! They should has written "Biden is doing great given his sheer incompetence losing by only 8% to DeSantis"!
Logged
SnowLabrador
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,117
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2022, 11:47:01 AM »
The key thing to note is that Biden's at 44% in both polls.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,548


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2022, 11:57:28 AM »
We also have to consider that other than the two Obama elections, polls have overestimated Democrats in pretty much every election in Florida in the last 20 years.
Logged
TodayJunior
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,616
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2022, 02:03:03 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2022, 02:07:38 PM by TodayJunior »
I guess home-state advantage still counts for something. Even if that something is a turd. It won’t reflect the nation as a whole though.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,398
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 01, 2022, 02:13:28 PM »
Lean Republican. I think Joe Biden or a Democrat can still win this state in the right environment with a weaker Republican candidate, but it would probably take a 2008-style "landslide" for it to flip.

The bottom line in this poll is Biden at the same level of support. That could mean about 5% would outright vote for DeSantis, but are reluctant about Trump. If he were the nominee, most of them would probably hold their nose and vote for him or against Biden.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 01, 2022, 02:17:46 PM »
Biden would definitely lose FL if the election were held today, but I doubt it would end up being an 8-point margin in the end.
Logged
RFayette 🇻🇦
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,962
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2022, 12:04:17 AM »
Come on Ron, let's pull this off!
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,185
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 02, 2022, 07:48:57 AM »
FL is not in play, what a surprise since 2008/12 when Obama won it with NC and IN
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 02, 2022, 11:08:47 PM »
This isn't surprising. I could see DeSantis improving over Trump in Florida. Biden is not going to win the state in 2024, regardless of who is the Republican nominee.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,185
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 03, 2022, 09:47:05 AM »
It's a 1000 days before the Election and 9 mnths before the Midterms
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.219 seconds with 13 queries.