FL-Suffolk: Biden trails DeSantis by 8, Trump by 3
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  FL-Suffolk: Biden trails DeSantis by 8, Trump by 3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: FL-Suffolk: Biden trails DeSantis by 8, Trump by 3  (Read 1406 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: February 01, 2022, 10:03:46 AM »
52% Ron DeSantis (R)
44% Joe Biden (D-inc.)

47% Donald Trump (R)
44% Joe Biden (D-inc.)

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/02/01/poll-biden-struggling-florida-2024/9282357002/
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2022, 10:12:19 AM »
I think it's hilarious that the poll is titled "Joe Biden is struggling in FL..." as if he went from winning the state to now losing it.

Given that he lost by nearly 4% in 2020, down by 8 in a bad environment for him against DeSantis isn't really as awful as it could be.
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2022, 10:35:01 AM »
Wow, now I'm start to see the real case for DeSantis running (and winning) against Trump. It's gonna be fun!
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2022, 10:37:29 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on February 01, 2022, 10:12:19 AM
I think it's hilarious that the poll is titled "Joe Biden is struggling in FL..." as if he went from winning the state to now losing it.

Given that he lost by nearly 4% in 2020, down by 8 in a bad environment for him against DeSantis isn't really as awful as it could be.

Agree! They should has written "Biden is doing great given his sheer incompetence losing by only 8% to DeSantis"!
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2022, 11:47:01 AM »
The key thing to note is that Biden's at 44% in both polls.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2022, 11:57:28 AM »
We also have to consider that other than the two Obama elections, polls have overestimated Democrats in pretty much every election in Florida in the last 20 years.
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2022, 02:03:03 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2022, 02:07:38 PM by TodayJunior »
I guess home-state advantage still counts for something. Even if that something is a turd. It won’t reflect the nation as a whole though.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: February 01, 2022, 02:13:28 PM »
Lean Republican. I think Joe Biden or a Democrat can still win this state in the right environment with a weaker Republican candidate, but it would probably take a 2008-style "landslide" for it to flip.

The bottom line in this poll is Biden at the same level of support. That could mean about 5% would outright vote for DeSantis, but are reluctant about Trump. If he were the nominee, most of them would probably hold their nose and vote for him or against Biden.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: February 01, 2022, 02:17:46 PM »
Biden would definitely lose FL if the election were held today, but I doubt it would end up being an 8-point margin in the end.
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RFayette
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« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2022, 12:04:17 AM »
Come on Ron, let's pull this off!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: February 02, 2022, 07:48:57 AM »
FL is not in play, what a surprise since 2008/12 when Obama won it with NC and IN
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #11 on: February 02, 2022, 11:08:47 PM »
This isn't surprising. I could see DeSantis improving over Trump in Florida. Biden is not going to win the state in 2024, regardless of who is the Republican nominee.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: February 03, 2022, 09:47:05 AM »
It's a 1000 days before the Election and 9 mnths before the Midterms
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