Idaho Governor's Race Primary

[BoiseBoy]

Little hasn't announced a reelection bid yet, but he's fundraising like he'll run, and he apparently has brought on a new deputy campaign manager. He's pissed off the far-right wing of the party; they call him a RINO because of his COVID restrictions (which are pretty much non-existent at this point) and a bunch of other stupid crap even though he's really conservative.

McGeachin has made a name for herself by opposing virtually everything Little has done. She's focused heavily on being anti-COVID restriction and decries mask mandates and vaccine mandates. She's tried really hard to court the far-right vote with a variety of meaningless campaign stunts and whatnot.

Bundy is infamous for reasons I'm sure we all know. He's also trying to court the far-right vote. Says he'll eliminate state income taxes and that McGeachin has no chance because she isn't polarizing enough.

Humphreys is pretty much unknown. He's also running pretty hard to the right.

My guess is that Little edges this one out; I'll be voting for him in the primary. McGeachin has a large online following, but with two other candidates vying for the same pool of voters, and with her inability to appeal to anyone outside the far-right, I don't think she'll win. Little seems to have the support of most establishment Republicans; he'll likely do very well among the agricultural/rancher types. A handful of Democrats have claimed they will switch affiliation and vote Little simply to prevent McGeachin from winning the primary.

The last time an incumbent was challenged was in 2014 (Otter vs now congressman Fulcher), and Fulcher lost by 8. Additional opposition from within the party was token at best. Otter was running for a third consecutive term at that point and I imagine people were feeling a little fatigued with him. Little would only be running for his second term.

[SnowLabrador]

I haven't been following this one closely, but I'll guess Little, if for no other reason than the other three will split the hardest-right vote.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe Brad Little

[Dr. MB]

Additional opposition from within the party was token at best.

"Token at best"? How dare you disgrace their names

[beesley]

I'd be surprised if McGeachin's campaign is really relevant in 2022 actually. I think Little wins but I wouldn't be surprised if any of the other three came second.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Do democrats have a shot if McGeachin wins ?

[One Term Floridian]

Do democrats have a shot if McGeachin wins ?

Obviously not

[Greedo punched first]

Is Ammon Bundy the worst of them?

[BoiseBoy]

Do democrats have a shot if McGeachin wins ?

They'd have a better shot against Bundy, but would still lose by 10+ points. Bundy is best known for occupying the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge for 40 days in 2016. He also was arrested a few times last summer for trespassing in the State Capitol as part of an anti-masking protest.

Right now the only Democrat in the race is a perennial candidate who is a transgender woman.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Is Ammon Bundy the worst of them?

He’d probably get called a RINO because he said something in support of BLM before