If these were the 2018 results, how would it have voted in 2020?

[Tekken_Guy]

This was the map from the "From 2018 and Beyond" scenario that was posted on the website a couple of years ago.

Here's a link to the thread BTW

Assume 2020 goes the same as it did IRL just with this base map. How are the results different for every seat that voted differently?

(BTW PA-10 was a flip in the scenario, even if it's the wrong color on the map).

[lfromnj]

Redistricting might have caused some changes in NC. They might have made a compromise to give Mccready a D leaning seat somehow but preserve NC02 or NC13.

[S019]

Redistricting might have caused some changes in NC. They might have made a compromise to give Mccready a D leaning seat somehow but preserve NC02 or NC13.

My thinking was they'd cede 2 and 13, and try to screw McCready, or at least give him a less favorable seat

[VAR]

Realistic ratings:

GA-07 - Likely D
IL-12 - Safe R
MI-06 - Tilt R
MI-07 - Safe R
MN-01 - Tilt D
MN-08 - Safe R
NE-02 - very slight Tilt R
not rating the NC districts because of redistricting
OH-01 - Tilt/Lean R
PA-01 - Lean/Likely R w/ Fitz, Tilt R w/o Fitz
PA-10 - very slight Tilt D
TX-24 - Tilt D
WA-03 - Tilt R
CA-10 - Safe R
CA-21 - Safe R
CA-39 - Safe R
GA-06 - Safe D
ME-02 - Safe R
NY-11 - Safe R
OK-05 - Safe R
SC-01 - Safe R
UT-04 - Safe R

I'm very uncertain about MN-01, NE-02, and PA-10.

[Tekken_Guy]

Here are my takes

For the D flips:
-GA-07 almost certainly holds no matter what.
-TX-24 McDowell almost certainly runs behind Biden like Allred and Fletcher did. Probably goes right down to the wire assuming Marchant doesn’t go for a rematch and BVD is the nominee.
-NE-2: If Bacon runs again, he might have won his seat back. Otherwise, Eastman probably holds on.
-MN-1: Since Feehan ran far ahead of Biden even as a challenger, I think he could have won a second term with that incumbency boost (a la Jared Golden)
-MI-6: I’d lean towards it flipping back, but it’s not impossible for Longjohn to have held on.
-PA-10: I’d lean towards George Scott holding it, but a flip isn’t out of the question.
-OH-1: This would be very close. Pureval is not a strong candidate though and probably won’t outrun Biden by much. I’m leaning towards him losing by one point.
-WA-3: Almost certainly flips back if Herrera Beutler runs again.
-PA-1: If Fitzpatrick runs again, this definitely flips back. Otherwise it’s probably very close.
-NC-2 and NC-13 become safe D seats in redistricting.
-MN-8, IL-12, MI-7, and NC-9 almost certainly flip back no matter what. McCready does probably keep it within 5 points though.
 

For the R holds: GA-06 flips in 2020 (McBath definitely goes for a rematch). Everything else holds.