Who loses by a larger margin? Jones or Gardner?

[Tekken_Guy]

Who loses re-election by a larger margin? Doug Jones or Cory Gardner?

[Kuumo]

It's close, but I think Doug Jones will lose by 13 while Gardner loses by 10.

[SevenEleven]

Gardner. This is going to get really ugly really quickly.

[Catalyst138]

Definitely Jones.

[We Live in Black and White]

Any other week, I would have said Jones. But now Washington DC is on fire, and the fire is COVID, and the GOP is the kindling at the center of the flames.

This is gonna be bad.

[Stuart98]

Gardner, though it will be close.

[President Johnson]

Jones, unfortunately. I think he will lose 57-42%, while Gardner "only" loses 53-45%. I think Gardner will do better than Trump.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Jones, D's are done with Jones, but Gardner can lose by 5pts

[ElectionsGuy]

I think Jones will lose by a much larger margin. Upper teens loss for Jones, upper single-digit loss for Gardner. It's embarrassing if anyone is still saying that the Alabama Senate race is going to be close or competitive. It was never going to be competitive without the same circumstances from the 2017 election.

[Xing]

Jones. I think he loses by 14-15%, while Gardner loses by 8-10%.

[Calthrina950]

Any other week, I would have said Jones. But now Washington DC is on fire, and the fire is COVID, and the GOP is the kindling at the center of the flames.

This is gonna be bad.

I don't think Gardner will lose by more than Jones, but I like this analogy, and agree with the sentiments expressed therein.

[Vosem]

Assuming the environment is basically similar to 2018, with Jones performing as top-tier ALDem and Gardner as top-tier COGOP (which is what polls show)...then Jones will lose by more than twice as much as Gardner. Something like D+8 in CO-Sen and R+18 in AL-Sen.

Alabama is just a way more Republican state than Colorado is Democratic.

[ugabug]

Gardner.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Jones.

I think Gardner might pull it out.  He'll certainly make it closer than it is now.

[MarkD]

Assuming the environment is basically similar to 2018, with Jones performing as top-tier ALDem and Gardner as top-tier COGOP (which is what polls show)...then Jones will lose by more than twice as much as Gardner. Something like D+8 in CO-Sen and R+18 in AL-Sen.

Alabama is just a way more Republican state than Colorado is Democratic.

These arguments make the most sense.

[Calthrina950]

Jones.

I think Gardner might pull it out.  He'll certainly make it closer than it is now.

You're being too generous to Gardner. He would be lucky to come as close as George Brauchler at this point.

[Mr. Smith]

I'm pretty sure Jones has a good chance to get into high singles, better than Bredesen or Heitkamp anyway.

But Gardner seems likely to be utterly blown out.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Jones, unfortunately. I think he will lose 57-42%, while Gardner "only" loses 53-45%. I think Gardner will do better than Trump.

Gardner has none of the fake moderate credentials like  Susan Collins. He is a generic Tea Party lunatic.

[Indy Texas 🇺🇦🇵🇸]

Jones, unfortunately. I think he will lose 57-42%, while Gardner "only" loses 53-45%. I think Gardner will do better than Trump.

Gardner has none of the fake moderate credentials like  Susan Collins. He is a generic Tea Party lunatic.

It always surprised me that Gardner didn't even try to be a centrist in the Senate and seemed to assume from the getgo, before Trump even happened, that he couldn't win in 2020.

Part of the problem for Colorado is that there's basically no Moderate Republican tradition there the way there is in some western states like Kansas and New Mexico. Other than John Arthur Love, I can't think of any prominent ones.

[Red Wall]

Doug Jones is despised in Alabama. He polled in the low 40s early this year but now he's down to mid 30s. He's on full Blanching terriroty. He'll do better than her by a couple points but worse than Mark Pryor in 2014.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Jones. AL is a very partisan state and people underestimate how much partisanship will win out in AL. I guess he loses by about 22%, while Gardner loses by 8%.

[Ljube]

Jones has no chance to win.
Gardner seems to have a chance.

I think we need more polls from Colorado.

[Suburbia]

Jones loses by 16

[Bootes Void]

Jones by a hair. I would say he loses by 12 and Gardner loses by 11