Rate NE-02

[Woody]

?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Lean D
Biden 53-46
Eastman 51-48

[VAR]

Pure tossup.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Tilt R. Biden will likely carry NE-2 on the Presidential level, but Eastman isn't a great challenger and Bacon is a decent incumbent

[Xing]

Toss-Up/Tilt D, Likely D at the presidential level. If I had to guess, Biden wins 52-45, Eastman wins 50-49.

[xavier110]

Toss-Up/Tilt D, Likely D at the presidential level. If I had to guess, Biden wins 52-45, Eastman wins 50-49.

Agree with this. It's lean to likely D at the presidential level, so I think at worst it's a tossup for the house race, at best it's tilt D

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Tossup. Tilt D if pressed. I think if Biden wins by 7+, Eastman wins. 4-7 is iffier for her.

It's Likely D at the POTUS level.

[Hope For A New Era]

Likely D for President, Tossup for House.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Lean R, even the NYT Siena poll had Bacon up 2

[DaleCooper]

It's a tossup, I guess, but I feel like of all the congressional districts that Biden is likely to win, this one is among the most favorable to the Republican House candidate.

[JMT]

Tilt D, but barely. This will be close. I think Biden pulls Eastman over the finish line, but Eastman will be favored to lose in a Biden midterm in 2022.

[DaleCooper]

Tilt D, but barely. This will be close. I think Biden pulls Eastman over the finish line, but Eastman will be favored to lose in a Biden midterm in 2022.

That's true. The sad thing is that one of the Ashfords probably would've held this seat fairly easily even in a Biden midterm. I get the sense that this is a district that'll be very tough for the GOP to perform well in until they reject Trumpism/QAnon.

[brucejoel99]

Pure Tossup.

[Calthrina950]

Tilt D, but barely. This will be close. I think Biden pulls Eastman over the finish line, but Eastman will be favored to lose in a Biden midterm in 2022.

That's true. The sad thing is that one of the Ashfords probably would've held this seat fairly easily even in a Biden midterm. I get the sense that this is a district that'll be very tough for the GOP to perform well in until they reject Trumpism/QAnon.

That would imply that Eastman might have a fighting chance here in 2022, but given her weaknesses, I'd agree that she would be the underdog. All of this assumes that she wins this year-which as I've said before, I think she will thanks to Biden's coattails.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Tilt D, but barely. This will be close. I think Biden pulls Eastman over the finish line, but Eastman will be favored to lose in a Biden midterm in 2022.

That's true. The sad thing is that one of the Ashfords probably would've held this seat fairly easily even in a Biden midterm. I get the sense that this is a district that'll be very tough for the GOP to perform well in until they reject Trumpism/QAnon.

That would imply that Eastman might have a fighting chance here in 2022, but given her weaknesses, I'd agree that she would be the underdog. All of this assumes that she wins this year-which as I've said before, I think she will thanks to Biden's coattails.

She could still become a "strong incumbent" if she's able to build a brand over bisexual bills or whatever like Bacon in his first term.

The GOP could fail to dislodge her if she succeeds in shaking off the stupid "radical" label and/or they nominate some incompetent moron who may also be able to garner some kind of "radical" labels because they hung out with proud boys or some moron group.

[Calthrina950]

Tilt D, but barely. This will be close. I think Biden pulls Eastman over the finish line, but Eastman will be favored to lose in a Biden midterm in 2022.

That's true. The sad thing is that one of the Ashfords probably would've held this seat fairly easily even in a Biden midterm. I get the sense that this is a district that'll be very tough for the GOP to perform well in until they reject Trumpism/QAnon.

That would imply that Eastman might have a fighting chance here in 2022, but given her weaknesses, I'd agree that she would be the underdog. All of this assumes that she wins this year-which as I've said before, I think she will thanks to Biden's coattails.

She could still become a "strong incumbent" if she's able to build a brand over bisexual bills or whatever like Bacon in his first term.

The GOP could fail to dislodge her if she succeeds in shaking off the stupid "radical" label and/or they nominate some incompetent moron who may also be able to garner some kind of "radical" labels because they hung out with proud boys or some moron group.

You mean "bipartisan" bills? I get what you're saying, but at any rate, this analysis seems reasonable enough. I've never fully understood the objections to Eastman, since she seems like a generic progressive Democrat to me and hasn't said anything controversial-certainly not like what the Squad have said.

[Alben Barkley]

Congressional race is Toss-up to Tilt R. Presidential race is Likely D. Whoch tells you how bad a candidate Eastman is.

[Pericles]

Tossup. Tilt D if I have to guess since Biden probably wins big here, but Eastman is underperforming Biden/Bacon is overpergorming Trump by a lot.

[Indy Texas]

Tilt D, but barely. This will be close. I think Biden pulls Eastman over the finish line, but Eastman will be favored to lose in a Biden midterm in 2022.

At this point, I wouldn't be surprised if Brad Ashford didn't switch to the GOP just to run against her out of his apparently deranged personal pique.

[Kuumo]

I think this race is Tilt D because Biden is likely to win NE-02 by at least 5 points. There can only be so many Biden-Bacon voters, Unbeatable Titan Moderate Hero Bipartisan Bills Bacon memes notwithstanding. I hope Kara Eastman wins just so we don't have Atlas memes like "Reasonable Moderate Nebraska Suburbanites love Bipartisan Bacon and hate SOCIALISM!!!" until the end of time.

She could still become a "strong incumbent" if she's able to build a brand over bisexual bills or whatever like Bacon in his first term.

Kyrsten Sinema likes this post on multiple levels.

[One Term Floridian]

Bisexual bills lmfao I nearly died

[Gracile]

She could still become a "strong incumbent" if she's able to build a brand over bisexual bills or whatever like Bacon in his first term.

The GOP could fail to dislodge her if she succeeds in shaking off the stupid "radical" label and/or they nominate some incompetent moron who may also be able to garner some kind of "radical" labels because they hung out with proud boys or some moron group.

Broke: Bipartisan Bills Bacon

Woke: Bisexual Bills Eastman