AZ (HighGround Inc.) - Biden +2
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Author Topic: AZ (HighGround Inc.) - Biden +2  (Read 1917 times)
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« Reply #25 on: May 26, 2020, 11:26:49 PM »
This pollster had Clinton up 2% on a poll it did on October 14 2016 and the race in AZ at that time might have been Clinton +2 so this could be a reliable pollster.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #26 on: May 27, 2020, 01:13:31 AM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on May 26, 2020, 08:20:02 PM
Dead heat in the desert
What's interesting about Arizona is that Trump unlike Texas or so, Clinton did not improve on Obama's margin.

It's true that the Dem share of votes in Arizona has remained eerily consistent: 44.5% from 2000 to 2016, almost to the tenth.

However in the last cycle Trump improved on Romney by just 19,000 votes, while Clinton improved on Obama 08 by 125,000 votes.

Given how unpopular Clinton was, those are signs of a very strong left trend in 2020.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #27 on: May 27, 2020, 08:18:16 AM »
A 400 person sample poll where Maricopa is supposedly 10 points to the left of the state (which means Pima County has to be Trump-leaning, doesn't make sense) should be taken with a grain of salt.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #28 on: May 27, 2020, 08:32:43 AM »
McSally lost in 2018 when popular Ducey was running. Trump is more unpopular and is a drag on McSally, not the other way around, that's why McSally will lose. McSally is no Jan Brewer in AZ, Brewer was very popular, not McSally
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pppolitics
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« Reply #29 on: May 27, 2020, 09:30:17 AM »
What you have to remember is that Maricopa County and Pima County makes up >75% of the votes casted in Arizona.
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SN2903
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« Reply #30 on: May 27, 2020, 01:30:28 PM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #31 on: May 27, 2020, 01:33:16 PM »

No, SN is quoting Snowlabrador, they need to come over to other side, Trump is corrupted and 3 of his lawyers, Manafort,  Cohen and Stone are in Fed Penitentiary. A D AG will put Trunp in jail
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #32 on: May 28, 2020, 03:56:04 AM »
« Edited: May 29, 2020, 04:24:05 PM by Monstro »
2020: The election in which winning Arizona by 1% would be considered a great night for the GOP
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