More likely to flip: Iowa or Maine-02?
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  More likely to flip: Iowa or Maine-02?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Which is more likely to flip to Biden?
#1
Iowa		  
#2
Maine-02		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 31

Author Topic: More likely to flip: Iowa or Maine-02?  (Read 214 times)
funjack73
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« on: May 29, 2020, 11:23:01 AM »
Tough choice here.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: May 29, 2020, 11:24:27 AM »
In your poll you have Maine - 1 as one of the choices. I'm assuming you meant ME-2. I voted ME-2 since it seems very elastic and RCV might have an impact on the results.
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funjack73
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« Reply #2 on: May 29, 2020, 11:25:32 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on May 29, 2020, 11:24:27 AM
In your poll you have Maine - 1 as one of the choices. I'm assuming you meant ME-2. I voted ME-2 since it seems very elastic and RCV might have an impact on the results.

I fixed it.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #3 on: May 29, 2020, 11:51:54 AM »
Maine's 2nd district.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #4 on: May 29, 2020, 11:53:44 AM »
ME-02.

But, given how elastic they both are, I imagine that if one flips, the other is at least close.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #5 on: May 29, 2020, 12:18:11 PM »
ME-02 because of the Senate race giving Biden a boost.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: May 29, 2020, 12:39:59 PM »
Iowa. Maine's 2nd is a dead-end for the current Democratic coalition - there is nothing about it suggesting the Democrats will grow their coalition there. At least Iowa has some urban areas with lots of college grads, Maine's 2nd might as well be Pennsyltucky at this point.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: May 29, 2020, 01:36:54 PM »
Neither is likely, but the Republican trend in ME-02 seems even stronger, so I’ll say IA is a bit more likely.
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