Rate Montana
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June 09, 2024, 06:04:30 PM
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Poll
Question: Rate Montana for Senate in 2020
#1
Lean Bullock
#2
Toss-Up/Tilt Bullock
#3
Toss-Up/Tilt Daines
#4
Lean Daines
#5
Likely Daines
#6
Safe Daines
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: Rate Montana  (Read 3349 times)
Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,064


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

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« Reply #50 on: April 27, 2020, 04:37:49 PM »

Lean Daines. Bullock's entrance is certainly helpful to Democrats, but it's likely that he could just as well fall victim to the growing political polarization at the congressional level.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #51 on: April 28, 2020, 05:05:51 AM »

Tossup with a very slight lean towards Bullock.

It's a Trump +20 state. This is dumber than saying Colorado is competitive.
1. victory is well within reach for Bullock
2. MT behaves as a swing state on Senate level
3. Atlas posters are allowed to make mildly bold predictions

1. Eh
2. Which is why he has a chance. That doesn't make it Tilt Bulock.
3. It's not mild, that's pretty freaking bold

The Republicans typically win Montana in Blowouts when they win. Dems squeak them out in all-nighter cliffhangers where their superior ground game gives them the upper hand. So if it's Tossup (which most are saying) I'd say that makes it slightly Tilt D because of the mechanics of MT electoral dynamics.

The 2018 House race, the 2017 special House race were both close republican wins.
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Heir of Camelot
heirofCamelot
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United States


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« Reply #52 on: April 30, 2020, 05:39:39 PM »

New Montana Senate Poll released today has Bullock +3

Bullock (D) 49%
Daines (R) 46%

Progress Campaign Poll
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