Clemson Palmetto Poll-SC: Biden 35, Steyer 17, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 8, Warren 8
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Clemson Palmetto Poll-SC: Biden 35, Steyer 17, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 8, Warren 8
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Author Topic: Clemson Palmetto Poll-SC: Biden 35, Steyer 17, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 8, Warren 8  (Read 2710 times)
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #50 on: February 26, 2020, 11:11:39 PM »
« edited: February 26, 2020, 11:19:03 PM by Interlocutor »

My theory on what the Biden camp is thinking strategically for the rest of the month:
- Win South Carolina, hopefully big
- That provides a great couple day news cycle that his campaign is back on track and he's the main alternative to Sanders
- Wins Alabama (big), Arkansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.
- Improves enough in California to not get shut out of the delegates.
- Win Mississippi (big) and Missouri (maybe Michigan)
- Surpass Bloomberg in Florida, win Ohio (maybe Illinois)
- Win Georgia (big)

Disregarding margins, all those states seem favorable to Biden already. The vagueness lies in Texas, North Carolina and Virginia. And even if he doesn't win those three, I think his margins will be close enough that he won't lose out on many delegates.

My biggest worry, if I were Biden, would be to miss viability in California. That's the easiest way Sanders can turn this from a 3 month nailbiter to a cakewalk.
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #51 on: February 26, 2020, 11:15:36 PM »

This pollster has a B/C rating and I guess it looks like they overpolled the elderly.... So... I wouldn't be putting so much faith into it.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #52 on: February 27, 2020, 12:19:06 AM »

Polls constantly overstated Bidens support, that's why when the voting began, he fell behind other candidates.  Blacks are the swing group here, and Biden isnt unanimously supported by Blacks
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #53 on: February 27, 2020, 12:59:14 AM »

Polls constantly overstated Bidens support, that's why when the voting began, he fell behind other candidates.  Blacks are the swing group here, and Biden isnt unanimously supported by Blacks

Say it like it is brother....

Still, it's a fluid race and there are tons of Democratic Voters from all backgrounds that are united in the concept of a "Winner" who can drain the corrupt swamp of Washington DC in the form of the current DJT Admin, who are still shopping around and aren't always as geeky as those of us on Atlas, or are "nervous nellie's that constantly shift around where our hearts might shift one way, one day, and our mind the other way because of fear of another four years of the current regime....

Still--- I'll back the candidate who I not only believe can and will beat DJT, but additionally someone who is closer to my personal political perspectives than the others in the race....


https://www.yourdictionary.com/nervous-nellie
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