Rate PA-07 for 2020
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Poll
Question: Who will win Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district in 2020?
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D/Tossup		  
#5
Tilt R/Tossup		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Likely R		  
#8
Safe R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Rate PA-07 for 2020  (Read 422 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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Posts: 1,903
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Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83

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« on: January 12, 2020, 06:33:30 PM »
This district has a PVI of D+1. Currently represented by Democrat Susan Wild, PA-07 consists of Lehigh County and Northampton County with a small portion of southern Monroe County. In 2016, Clinton won (the equivalent of) this district by 1%.

Notable Republican challengers include Dean Browning, a 2018 Republican candidate who lost the primary to Marty Nothstein.

Recent Results
2018: D +10
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Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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E: -8.00, S: -7.65

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« Reply #1 on: January 12, 2020, 06:51:47 PM »
Lean D. Maybe a bold take, but given the way it trended in 2016, I think on paper this is the most likely Clinton district to flip at the congressional level (not CA-48, NJ-07, etc.). With that said, I think the Democratic nominee could make up some ground in the urban parts of this district and Wild seems like a well-positioned incumbent.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: January 12, 2020, 07:29:03 PM »
If the best they can do at this point is Dean Browning, then yeah.... hard Lean D.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #3 on: January 13, 2020, 01:52:58 AM »
Likely D. Not impossible for Republicans, but it’s definitely not the best pick-up opportunity out there for Republicans.
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: January 13, 2020, 04:50:53 AM »
Again - "in between". Between Lean and Likely D.
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It's not just that you are a crook senator
MelihV
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Ukraine


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E: -4.65, S: -5.04

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« Reply #5 on: January 13, 2020, 05:52:57 AM »
She won this district by 10 points in 2018 and we still have a republican president so likely democrat.
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ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« Reply #6 on: January 13, 2020, 06:13:22 AM »
Lean D. Essentially this will be the bellwether for the statewide house vote in Pennsylvania. It's also the type of district Republicans might need to take over the House.
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morgieb
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Australia


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E: -7.87, S: -8.70

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« Reply #7 on: January 13, 2020, 06:19:12 AM »
Likely D, but probably closer to Lean. The seat is probably trending R, but a 10 point win is hardly insubstantial as a non-incumbent and the recruiting for the Republicans is off. If they're winning this one they're probably winning the House.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: January 13, 2020, 06:59:16 AM »
There's also no reason to believe that her standing has gone down in the district.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
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« Reply #9 on: January 13, 2020, 12:48:02 PM »
Safe D, especially against Browning
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