Quinnipiac: Trump at 47% approval, 50% disapproval in TX

[MT Treasurer]

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2601

I was told that 2018 TX-Sen was totally a one-off that only happened because D+8 year and "uniquely unlikeable Ted Cruz" (who has a 51/40 approval in this poll but that ruins the narrative!)

LOL, yeah, this narrative is hilariously dumb. Anyway, TX is definitely still less likely to flip than NC, GA, AZ, and FL, but I don’t get why it’s so outlandish to predict that it’ll be closer than IA and/or OH.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Not bad, consistent with 2018 results and 2018 exit polls.

[MT Treasurer]

Well, considering Trump is at -4 in Iowa, which is Titanium R and way less likely to flip than KS, MS, SC, and MT, Trump at -3 must mean that Texas is also Titanium R.

Come on, no one actually believes this. The consensus is that Iowa (Lean R at best for Republicans) is far more likely to flip than Ohio (which is basically Safe R) and certainly far more likely to flip than KS/MS/SC/MT.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Oh I was told by OSR that the Texas suburbs will come back for the GOP. This poll clearly ignored those Hays County republicans!

I said only against a certain type of Democrat

[lfromnj]

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/02/22/beto-orourke-campaign-strategy-2020-225193

Beto had no campaign infrastructure unlike the Texas GOP.
The Texas D's actually have serious voting Data now on those who voted D in 2018.
They also have a much better donor base because the Houston/Dallas GOP is completely wiped out.


A state party was literally rebuilt in election season.

[I Can Now Die Happy]

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/texas/president

That's better than the 39% approval he got on November 8, 2016 when he won 52.23% of the Texas vote.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/texas/senate

That's close to the amount he got on November 6, 2018 (49%-49%). Ted Cruz had an approval of 50% and a disapproval of 48% in this same poll.

[wbrocks67]

People are really pulling a Sarah Sanders by trying to spin a -3 approval in a Republican Red state that he won by 9 points.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If the election was held today, it would be a replay of 2012, Generic Dem 333 v Trump 203.

But, its not today and when Senators are being placed as Jurors, Cornyn, Ernst, McSally, Tillis and Gardner may have a defeat waiting for them and the state they represent

[Sestak]

It's amazing how accepting we are now of a Republican President having numbers underwater in Texas of all places.

It’s not that interesting because a significant portion will hold their nose and vote for him. If this Q poll is accurate, he likely wins the state by 6 or so.

But it's Texas, no Republican should be in the negatives there.

Also, winning Texas by just 6 is...not great.