Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - South Dakota
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  Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - South Dakota		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: (1) Rate South Dakota and (2) Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Kristi Noem (R)		  
#9
Billie Sutton (D)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 86

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - South Dakota  (Read 1953 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: October 28, 2018, 08:09:01 AM »
Previous threads you can still vote in and affect the overall result:

AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT FL GA HI ID IL IA KS ME MD MA MI MN NE NV NH NM NY OH OK OR PA RI SC

Lean R, 51-47 Noem. SC is very close between likely R and safe R.

Ratings



No Election: 7
Safe D: 5
Likely D: 7
Lean D: 2
Toss-Up: 5
Lean R: 3
Likely R: 1
Safe R: 7
No Election: 7

Predictions



Democrats: 24
Republicans: 20

Runoffs

Georgia

Pickups

Alaska Florida Illinois Iowa Kansas Maine Michigan Nevada New Mexico

Net: D+8, R-7, I-1
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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E: -0.13, S: -0.87

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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2018, 08:10:55 AM »
Tossup, Noem +2. I'll believe it when I see it.
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😥
andjey
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2018, 08:13:03 AM »
Tossup/Sutton 49-48
Dems can flip it
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OneJ
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2018, 08:29:54 AM »
Tossup/Noem.
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
freethinkingindy
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2018, 08:30:43 AM »
Noem will take it in the end, but still Tossup as of now
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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E: -6.06, S: -8.70

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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2018, 10:26:01 AM »
Tossup. I’d say Noem wins, but I’m cautiously optimistic.
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Xing
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2018, 10:32:55 AM »
Lean R, Noem wins 51-47.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2018, 10:48:05 AM »
Lean R. I have a feeling that Noem is going to clean up among the "undecideds."
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2018, 10:50:52 AM »
Toss-up, Noem 50-47-3. Definitely wouldn’t be surprised if Sutton won, though.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2018, 11:57:05 AM »
Quote from: Politician on October 28, 2018, 08:10:55 AM
Tossup, Noem +2. I'll believe it when I see it.
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Progressive Pessimist
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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2018, 07:39:39 PM »
Lean R. Noem will win by the mid-single digits.
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pops
katman46
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E: -8.00, S: 2.00

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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2018, 01:49:49 PM »
This seems really similar to the "Obama will win the Dakotas" hype in 2008 and the "Hillary has a chance in South Dakota" hype in 2016. Likely R, in case I'm wrong, but I doubt I am.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2018, 05:15:20 PM »
Getting a MD-Gov 2014 vibe from this race. Lean R, Noem 51-47, but a Sutton victory would be no surprise.
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
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E: -5.42, S: -5.43

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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2018, 06:54:49 PM »
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2018, 07:09:01 PM »
Tilt R, but could go for Sutton on a good night. (Voted Tossup/Noem)
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Dr. MB
MB
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2018, 08:07:06 PM »
If any gov seat upsets, it's South Dakota. I've been pretty confident in a Sutton victory for awhile now.
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2018, 02:14:32 AM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17

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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2018, 02:24:22 AM »
Sutton will beat Noem😀
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kelestian
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2018, 09:29:37 AM »
Why is this race competitive?
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2018, 12:11:43 PM »

Open seat in a Dem favored year. It helps that Sutton is “pro-life.”
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Badger
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« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2018, 12:50:59 PM »
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2018, 01:55:43 PM »
Hmmmmm
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2018, 02:01:07 PM »
Quote from: MB on November 04, 2018, 08:07:06 PM
If any gov seat upsets, it's South Dakota. .

Agree. I think there could be possible (but very unlikely) upsets in Connecticut and Oregon for Republicans.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2018, 09:37:34 AM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 05, 2018, 02:01:07 PM
Quote from: MB on November 04, 2018, 08:07:06 PM
If any gov seat upsets, it's South Dakota. .

Agree. I think there could be possible (but very unlikely) upsets in Connecticut and Oregon for Republicans.

No. Just no.
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ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2018, 10:01:16 AM »
Quote from: Badger on November 06, 2018, 09:37:34 AM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 05, 2018, 02:01:07 PM
Quote from: MB on November 04, 2018, 08:07:06 PM
If any gov seat upsets, it's South Dakota. .

Agree. I think there could be possible (but very unlikely) upsets in Connecticut and Oregon for Republicans.

No. Just no.

Okay...

Republicans couldn't win these two states in 2010 and 2014, and this year the tide isn't on their side, so it's probably not going to happen, but outcomes of gubernatorial races are less dependent on their state's political lean. So to snarkily dismiss even the possibility of it happening is a mistake.
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