Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - Georgia
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Poll
Question: (1) Rate Georgia, (2) Predict Runoff and (3) Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Runoff		  
#9
No Runoff		  
#10
Brian Kemp (R)		  
#11
Stacey Abrams (D)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 85

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Author Topic: Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - Georgia  (Read 1706 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: October 07, 2018, 07:10:51 AM »
Previous threads you can still vote in: Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Florida

Toss-Up, Runoff, 52-48 Kemp. If you're predicting a runoff, predict the winner of that runoff, not who will get the higher % of the vote on November 6th.

Ratings



No Election: 7
Safe D: 1
Likely D: 2
Lean D: 1
Toss-Up:
Lean R: 2
Likely R:
Safe R: 2
No Election: 7

Predictions



Democrats: 11
Republicans: 11

Pickups

Alaska (R+1)
Florida (D+1)

Net:
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2018, 07:34:50 AM »
Quote from: Republicans for Nelson on October 07, 2018, 07:13:36 AM
Leans R, Runoff, Kemp. Sadly, I need to see it to believe it that Georgia will vote for a black woman.

She's well regarded (even by my Republican friends) and I believe we'll have a runoff, but the Democrats have a big hole to dig out of in Georgia. 
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2018, 07:45:15 AM »
Tossup, goes to runoff. Then, it'd be relatively harder for Abrams to win.
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DaWN
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« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2018, 07:48:32 AM »
Lean R, Kemp by about 3 or 4 points in the runoff. This would easily be Tossup or even Lean D without the runoff, but I think it'll be Abrams' undoing in the end.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2018, 09:22:52 AM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on October 07, 2018, 07:45:15 AM
Tossup, goes to runoff. Then, it'd be relatively harder for Abrams to win.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #5 on: October 07, 2018, 09:25:34 AM »
Toss-Up but I think Abrams is going to win. No run off.

Abrams 51-47-2
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andjey
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« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2018, 09:43:45 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on October 07, 2018, 09:22:52 AM
Quote from: yeah_93 on October 07, 2018, 07:45:15 AM
Tossup, goes to runoff. Then, it'd be relatively harder for Abrams to win.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2018, 10:30:08 AM »
Toss-Up, and it’ll likely go to a run-off, in which I think Kemp will win 51-49.
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2018, 11:51:54 AM »
I think Abrams wins the first round but I don’t know if she can get a majority then. The runoff would lean towards Kemp. I’ll call it a tossup
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2018, 12:03:46 PM »
Toss-up. I think Atlas definitely overrates Abrams, but this will most likely go to a runoff, which could go either way (gun to my head, Kemp wins by 1).
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2018, 02:16:42 PM »
BOLD prediction: Abrams wins the runoff with higher black and liberal turnout. Tossup/runoff.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2018, 06:19:10 PM »
Quote from: Republicans for Nelson on October 07, 2018, 07:13:36 AM
Leans R, Runoff, Kemp. Sadly, I need to see it to believe it that Georgia will vote for a black woman.
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Progressive Pessimist
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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #12 on: October 11, 2018, 07:04:34 PM »
This is a tossup for now. But I am pretty sure that Kemp is going to pull off a win in the runoff.
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #13 on: October 11, 2018, 08:06:08 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on October 11, 2018, 07:04:34 PM
This is a tossup for now. But I am pretty sure that Kemp is going to pull off a win in the runoff.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2018, 11:26:41 AM »
Kemp will probably win in a runoff.  Ultimately that makes the race lean R.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2018, 11:53:26 AM »
I predict an exceptionally close win for Kemp after a runoff. However, out of all of the races I'm predicting for the Rs, this one could most easily go the other way.
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OneJ
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« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2018, 05:38:44 PM »
Quote from: Lechasseur on October 11, 2018, 08:06:08 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on October 11, 2018, 07:04:34 PM
This is a tossup for now. But I am pretty sure that Kemp is going to pull off a win in the runoff.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2018, 05:40:53 PM »
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Cynthia
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2018, 03:35:47 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on October 07, 2018, 09:22:52 AM
Quote from: yeah_93 on October 07, 2018, 07:45:15 AM
Tossup, goes to runoff. Then, it'd be relatively harder for Abrams to win.
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