Predict the margin: NY-Gov D. Primary
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  Predict the margin: NY-Gov D. Primary
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Poll
Question: Which candidate wins and by how many points?
#1
Cuomo +50 points
 
#2
Cuomo 40-50 points
 
#3
Cuomo 30-40 points
 
#4
Cuomo 20-30 points
 
#5
Cuomo 10-20 points
 
#6
Cuomo 0-10 points
 
#7
Nixon 0-10 points
 
#8
Nixon 10-20 points
 
#9
Nixon +20 points
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: Predict the margin: NY-Gov D. Primary  (Read 1215 times)
Skye
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« on: September 13, 2018, 09:41:41 AM »

Didn't add more Nixon options because let's face it guys.

My prediction is Cuomo 30-40. Which one is yours?
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2018, 09:42:58 AM »

Cuomo wins anywhere between 65-35% to 67-33%.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2018, 10:04:30 AM »

29.99%
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Politician
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« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2018, 12:03:02 PM »

Cuomo 62-38.
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2018, 12:20:46 PM »

Cuomo 20-30
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2018, 12:34:16 PM »

Cuomo by around 25 points.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2018, 12:56:08 PM »

King Andy wins 68-32%.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #7 on: September 13, 2018, 01:55:09 PM »

Nixon, by anywhere between 0.5-2 points (no chance whatsoever it happens, but I'll be damned if it somehow does & I passed up the opportunity to predict one of the biggest potential upsets)
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Skye
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« Reply #8 on: September 13, 2018, 03:19:46 PM »

Nixon, by anywhere between 0.5-2 points (no chance whatsoever it happens, but I'll be damned if it somehow does & I passed up the opportunity to predict one of the biggest potential upsets)

I don't think predicting works that way...
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Progressive
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« Reply #9 on: September 13, 2018, 04:13:46 PM »

The night will end with Nixon up in the vote count. Cuomo will not concede tonight. This drama will drag on. You heard it here first.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #10 on: September 13, 2018, 04:15:40 PM »

Nixon, by anywhere between 0.5-2 points (no chance whatsoever it happens, but I'll be damned if it somehow does & I passed up the opportunity to predict one of the biggest potential upsets)

I don't think predicting works that way...

Shhhh, no need to bring definitions into this, I just wanna be right if both the expected or unexpected occur lolol
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Duke of York
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« Reply #11 on: September 13, 2018, 04:22:24 PM »

The night will end with Nixon up in the vote count. Cuomo will not concede tonight. This drama will drag on. You heard it here first.

She’s behind by 41 points as of the last poll. She’s not going to win barring a polling screw up oh biblical proportions.

I don’t know what you’ve been reading but she’s very unlikely to even come close
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #12 on: September 13, 2018, 04:29:10 PM »

The night will end with Nixon up in the vote count. Cuomo will not concede tonight. This drama will drag on. You heard it here first.

She’s behind by 41 points as of the last poll. She’s not going to win barring a polling screw up oh biblical proportions.

I don’t know what you’ve been reading but she’s very unlikely to even come close

Remember when Eric Cantor lost his primary? Polling screw-ups like that do happen.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #13 on: September 13, 2018, 04:29:39 PM »

Andrew Cuomo 52
Cynthia Nixon 47
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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« Reply #14 on: September 13, 2018, 04:34:17 PM »

62-38

What were the Atlas predictions regarding Cuomo vs. Teachout?
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Skye
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« Reply #15 on: September 13, 2018, 05:19:32 PM »

62-38

What were the Atlas predictions regarding Cuomo vs. Teachout?

Found this:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=197888.0

Surprisingly accurate takes.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #16 on: September 13, 2018, 05:22:08 PM »

I predict Cuomo 65-35
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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« Reply #17 on: September 13, 2018, 05:37:51 PM »


Yes, it is. And it seems like this year's prediction are likely to be accurate, too.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #18 on: September 13, 2018, 05:40:58 PM »

Cuomo gets around 65-70%
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #19 on: September 13, 2018, 05:44:59 PM »

I'm gonna say Nixon by single digits because the Bernie-wing will be insufferable if she doesn't win. Also Cuomo has really let his ass hang out.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #20 on: September 13, 2018, 06:02:34 PM »

60-40. 

The Nixonians will never let this race go.  This is the gender-reversed gubernatorial equivalent of Bernie vs. Hillary.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #21 on: September 13, 2018, 06:17:28 PM »

Cuomo will win. New York will lose.
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Continential
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« Reply #22 on: September 13, 2018, 07:39:05 PM »

Who is the idiot who did a Nixon Landslide
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #23 on: September 13, 2018, 08:01:18 PM »

Cuomo 59-40.
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Skye
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« Reply #24 on: September 13, 2018, 10:07:18 PM »

We weren't that far off again.
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