What percent of the popular vote do you think 3rd parties will get?
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  What percent of the popular vote do you think 3rd parties will get?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Percent 3rd parties will get in the 2020 General Election?
#1
0-2%
#2
2-5%
#3
5-10%
#4
10-15%
#5
15+%
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Author Topic: What percent of the popular vote do you think 3rd parties will get?  (Read 730 times)
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Dark Horse
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« on: June 04, 2018, 09:01:03 PM »
I'm personally thinking around 4%
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here2view
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« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2018, 08:03:39 AM »
I'd say around 3-4%.

2012 was about 1.7%
2016 was about 5.7%
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2018, 08:08:44 AM »
3.7%
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2018, 08:13:48 AM »
Around 3%.
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New Frontier
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: June 05, 2018, 01:16:41 PM »
Based on the poll, 2-5%.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2018, 02:36:21 PM »
5-10%

I'm assuming that Kasich is running.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #6 on: June 05, 2018, 05:33:12 PM »
At least 15% if Kasich (or Sanders if he decides to be petulant this time) is on the ballot, otherwise about 3-5%.
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Thunder98
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« Reply #7 on: June 05, 2018, 05:43:55 PM »
3.3%-4.2%
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: June 05, 2018, 06:35:24 PM »
I would say about 5%. Even if the Democrats nominate a candidate better than Clinton, people will still find an excuse to vote for a third party even if their candidates suck too. The allure of petty protest against the two-party system has seemingly become ingrained in American politics, even if it works against the interests of that voter.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2018, 02:23:26 PM »
Thinking that there will be an equivalent of John Anderson to sop up a big number of conservative Republican votes against the not-so-orthodox right-winger Donald Trump, somewhere between 4% and 8%. 
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2018, 05:08:11 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on June 05, 2018, 06:35:24 PM
I would say about 5%. Even if the Democrats nominate a candidate better than Clinton, people will still find an excuse to vote for a third party even if their candidates suck too. The allure of petty protest against the two-party system has seemingly become ingrained in American politics, even if it works against the interests of that voter.
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Thunder98
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« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2018, 05:24:40 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on June 07, 2018, 02:23:26 PM
Thinking that there will be an equivalent of John Anderson to sop up a big number of conservative Republican votes against the not-so-orthodox right-winger Donald Trump, somewhere between 4% and 8%. 

A right leaning third party candidate running would definitely hurt the Trump most in the Intermountain West and the Dakotas + Kansas states as well as swing states.
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Jalawest2
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« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2018, 06:33:59 PM »
Quote from: Thunder98 on June 07, 2018, 05:24:40 PM
Quote from: pbrower2a on June 07, 2018, 02:23:26 PM
Thinking that there will be an equivalent of John Anderson to sop up a big number of conservative Republican votes against the not-so-orthodox right-winger Donald Trump, somewhere between 4% and 8%. 

A right leaning third party candidate running would definitely hurt the Trump most in the Intermountain West and the Dakotas + Kansas states as well as swing states.
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