Republicans pick up KY this fall and hold onto LA and MS.
Republicans pick up WV, MT, and MO in 2016.
VT in 2016 is a tossup.
IN will barely stay red in 2016. If Pence is successfully primaried, it stays solid red.
Democrats retain WA, OR, DE, and NH (unless Hassan decides to run for Senate, in which case NH becomes a tossup) in 2016.
Democrats' best hope of a pickup in 2016 is NC. If the Presidential race in NC either becomes a tossup or starts to lean Dem in mid-to-late October, McCrory had better start packing his bags and allowing Cooper's wife into the governor's mansion to start measuring for drapes. I honestly think McCrory's fate WILL depend on the Presidential race in NC.
Republicans retain UT and ND in 2016.
And WV only by hindsight because Justice switched back. Initially that'd have been wrong too.
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