More likely to flip? VT or MA?

[DPKdebator]

Considering the fact that there's a lot of "who's more likely to flip" threads popping up, I thought this one was a no-brainer. Which titanium D state is more likely to flip- Vermont or Massachusetts?


I'm going to go with VT on this one, because it would be more demographically friendly (as in whiter) to a Republican than MA, and it trended nicely to the right in 2016 unlike MA.

[Xing]

Vermont, but both are about as likely to flip as Arkansas.

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

Vermont, but both are about as likely to flip as Arkansas.

[AGA]

I'd say Vermont. Vermont was closer, but that was because of the massive write-in total. It probably is more elastic. It also may be more willing to elect moderate Republicans than Massachusetts since Scott won by 12 points there and Baker only won by 2 points in Massachusetts

[Suburbia]

Massachusetts.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Vermont, but I'll say once again that on the federal level it would sooner flip for a Trump-lite candidate than a generically-affluent moderate fiscally conservative but socially liberal candidate.