Which is more likely?
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  Which is more likely?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which?
#1
Hillary winning AZ		  
#2
Trump winning WI		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 70

Author Topic: Which is more likely?  (Read 599 times)
Old Man Willow
ShadowOfTheWave
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« on: August 03, 2016, 10:10:08 AM »
Well?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2016, 10:18:26 AM »
Trump can't win WI period. Not when he's alienated half the Republican Party there, especially with this Paul Ryan drama.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2016, 10:24:17 AM »
Several polls over the last few months have shown Clinton leading in AZ, including one on Aug 1.

Not a single WI poll has shown Trump ahead.  Only one poll has ever had him closer than 5 points: a Marquette University poll, taken right after Comey's bombshell.  And Clinton still held a 4-point lead.

Clinton absolutely could win AZ.  Trump will not win WI.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2016, 10:25:39 AM »
Quote from: heatcharger on August 03, 2016, 10:18:26 AM
Trump can't win WI period. Not when he's alienated half the Republican Party there, especially with this Paul Ryan drama.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2016, 10:26:20 AM »
Hillary winning Arizona, for sure.
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Mallow
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« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2016, 10:28:50 AM »
Swap PA for WI and you have an interesting question.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2016, 10:31:09 AM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on August 03, 2016, 10:25:39 AM
Quote from: heatcharger on August 03, 2016, 10:18:26 AM
Trump can't win WI period. Not when he's alienated half the Republican Party there, especially with this Paul Ryan drama.

WI Republicans want a union-smashing, tax-slashing, pro-business, socially conservative candidate.  If Mike Pence topped the ticket, he would have had a chance of flipping the state.  Trump is the exact opposite of what Republicans in that state want.  His populism might attract independents, but without GOP support, he's dead.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #7 on: August 03, 2016, 11:35:55 AM »
Hillary winning Arizona is MUCH more likely than Trump winning Wisconsin.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #8 on: August 03, 2016, 12:54:56 PM »
Quote from: evergreenarbor on August 03, 2016, 11:35:55 AM
Hillary winning Arizona is MUCH more likely than Trump winning Wisconsin.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #9 on: August 03, 2016, 02:31:55 PM »
LOL. Hillary wins Arizona is far more likely. Probably a 30-40% chance. That Trump wins Wisconsin has a chance of maybe 5%.
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Breton Racer
Harrytruman48
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« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2016, 03:36:16 AM »
Hillary is much more likely to win Arizona, arguably its 50/50 in Arizona.
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Lachi
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« Reply #11 on: August 06, 2016, 07:32:14 AM »
Quote from: Harrytruman48 on August 06, 2016, 03:36:16 AM
Hillary is much more likely to win Arizona, arguably its 50/50 in Arizona.

53% for Hillary in AZ
5% for Trump in WI, which I think is still overblown.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #12 on: August 06, 2016, 08:52:10 AM »
Options 1, hands down.
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AGA
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« Reply #13 on: August 06, 2016, 09:21:06 AM »
No polls show Trump leading in Wisconsin, but multiple polls show a Clinton lead in Arizona. I do not think that either will happen. In a typical election, the answer would be Wisconsin, but here, it's Arizona.
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