Who can win their party's nomination?

[°Leprechaun]

Pick the most likely four.
I am voting Clinton, Trump, Cruz and Sanders (although Clinton still has an
advantage over Sanders)
Rubio and Kasich could still win, but I doubt that Bush or Carson could win.

[Del Tachi]

Clinton, Trump, Rubio and Bush

[yankeesfan]

Clinton
Sanders

Trump
Cruz

[standwrand]

Clinton, Sanders, Trump, Rubio

[°Leprechaun]

Clinton   - best chance of being the next POTUS

Sanders - certaintly seems unlikely to win the nomination, could win the general;
he could be good for turnout, possibly better than Clinton (in the general)


Trump   - Certainly a wildcard, the other candidates, especially Cruz and Rubio
               are talking a lot about abortion and SSM, where Trump is focusing
               on issues that matter more to voters, economics, immigration, and
               foreign policy. Not that the other candidates aren't talking about those issues,
               but Trump isn't making a big fuss about SSM, abortion or SCOTUS

Cruz     - Well, he certaintly isn't doing well so far in this poll.
               It would be interesting to see if he could do better than Romney
               in the general. I doubt he could against either Dem

Rubio   - I don't think his positions on abortion and SSM will help him in Dem leaning or swing
             states. Currently he seems more likely to get the nomination than Bush, Kasich or Carson

Bush    - We don't need another Bush-Clinton election. Bill did so well in 1992. Do Republicans
               want to lose?

Kasich - May be the most likely to beat Clinton or Sanders, but doesn't seem to appeal to certain       
             types of Republicans.

Carson - Most likely to be the next drop out. Very traditional type and not likely to appeal to Dems.
                Clearly a calmer tone than Trump, but that doesn't seem to have much appeal this year.

[PresidentTRUMP]

Dems:

Hillary will pull away in the end for a comfortable win.

Repubs:

Trump - Favorite
Cruz - Chance
Rubio- Chance

That's it.

[jaichind]

Clinton, Sanders, Trump, Rubio

[°Leprechaun]

Clinton, Sanders, Trump, Rubio

I'm changing my vote to this. I can't see Cruz winning this race unless Trump drops out and even then it wouldn't be likely. Cruz could easily beat Trump in a two man race,
but that will never happen. I think the most likely scenario is that once it's a three man race, it will be a while before anyone can win this, and it most likely goes to late April to early June.
The Dem race could be similar.

[°Leprechaun]

key primary dates:
3/1
3/8
3/15
4/5 Wisconsin
4/19
4/26
6/7

election:
11/8

Wisconsin isn't that important compared to
bigger states, but if both races haven't
been decided the results might
suggest a trend or shift in one or both parties

[President Johnson]

Hillary and TRUMP

[Ljube]

Clinton, Sanders, Trump, Rubio

[Bigby]

Clinton and Sanders are in limbo with each other right now. Trump and Cruz are the likely GOP favorites as of now, but Rubio could replace Cruz soon.