Prediction time: ITALY
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Poll
Question: Who wins ?
#1
The Bersani/Left Coalition		  
#2
The Berlusconi/Right Coalition		  
#3
The M5S		  
#4
The Monti Coalition		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 8

Author Topic: Prediction time: ITALY  (Read 1361 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: February 10, 2013, 02:55:10 PM »
You choose.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2013, 02:58:36 PM »
PD. I have faith in Italian voters.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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E: -7.87, S: -3.83

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« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2013, 03:05:21 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 10, 2013, 02:58:36 PM
PD. I still have a small remnant of faith left in Italian voters.

Anyhow, you should have included more options Tender. This being Italy, Monti and Grillo should not be written off so quickly.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2013, 03:08:17 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony on February 10, 2013, 03:05:21 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 10, 2013, 02:58:36 PM
PD. I still have a small remnant of faith left in Italian voters.

Anyhow, you should have included more options Tender. This being Italy, Monti and Grillo should not be written off so quickly.

Do you really think the polls will be off by 15-20% ?
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2013, 03:11:35 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 10, 2013, 03:08:17 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony on February 10, 2013, 03:05:21 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 10, 2013, 02:58:36 PM
PD. I still have a small remnant of faith left in Italian voters.

Anyhow, you should have included more options Tender. This being Italy, Monti and Grillo should not be written off so quickly.

Do you really think the polls will be off by 15-20% ?

With circumstances being what they are it's not exactly entirely impossible. Italian voters have done stunning things in the past, don't forget.

Now, that sort of outcome is not what could ever be termed likely, but...
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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E: -7.87, S: -3.83

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« Reply #5 on: February 10, 2013, 03:49:32 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 10, 2013, 03:08:17 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony on February 10, 2013, 03:05:21 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 10, 2013, 02:58:36 PM
PD. I still have a small remnant of faith left in Italian voters.

Anyhow, you should have included more options Tender. This being Italy, Monti and Grillo should not be written off so quickly.

Do you really think the polls will be off by 15-20% ?

Yes.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #6 on: February 10, 2013, 09:09:12 PM »
Berusconi wins in a landslide. Numerous bunga bunga jokes involing Berusconi and Monti are made.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2013, 07:09:56 AM »
Berlusconi will win...the Papacy.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2013, 02:58:19 AM »
Quote from: Californian Tony on February 10, 2013, 03:49:32 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 10, 2013, 03:08:17 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony on February 10, 2013, 03:05:21 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on February 10, 2013, 02:58:36 PM
PD. I still have a small remnant of faith left in Italian voters.

Anyhow, you should have included more options Tender. This being Italy, Monti and Grillo should not be written off so quickly.

Do you really think the polls will be off by 15-20% ?

Yes.

I'm starting to believe you could be right with that. See the Italy Thread. Silvio is back in his element.
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Zioneer
PioneerProgress
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: February 12, 2013, 03:50:20 PM »

Counter-thought: Ratzinger will win the Italian Prime Ministership.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #10 on: February 12, 2013, 05:18:47 PM »
Unfortunately Berlusconi was only narrowly defeated in 2006 when it appeared at this point he was going down hard...I'll still be optimistic and say the PD.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
JOHN91043353
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« Reply #11 on: February 12, 2013, 09:10:56 PM »
The PD-coalition.

They won't have a Senate majority though.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #12 on: February 23, 2013, 08:41:56 AM »
Bump !

I reset the poll to include more options.

Please vote again.
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Velasco
andi
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« Reply #13 on: February 24, 2013, 11:16:42 AM »
I can't vote in the poll. My crystal ball is whispering insistently to my ear: Grillo!, Grillo! Oh dear Grin
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #14 on: February 26, 2013, 11:19:48 AM »
Actually the first 3 options were correct:

* The IBC won because they won the most votes and the majority in the Camera.
* Berlusconi won because of the Senate and because he did better than the polls
* Grillo because he was the strongest party in the Camera and did much better than the polls said
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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E: -7.87, S: -3.83

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« Reply #15 on: February 26, 2013, 03:19:22 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 26, 2013, 11:19:48 AM
Actually the first 3 options were correct:

* The IBC won because they won the most votes and the majority in the Camera.
* Berlusconi won because of the Senate and because he did better than the polls
* Grillo because he was the strongest party in the Camera and did much better than the polls said

Quite true... Thinking back about it, determining the "winner" ends up being more tricky than we imagined...
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Benj
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« Reply #16 on: February 27, 2013, 03:11:15 PM »

An unwise decision, in retrospect.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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Posts: 58,357
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Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

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« Reply #17 on: February 27, 2013, 06:18:09 PM »

Yeah. I hereby promise I will never trust Italian voters again. Never.
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