Obama - 55%
McCain - 39%
SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 California adults 10/4/08 and 10/5/08. Of the adults, 879 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 670 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election.
California has 55 Electoral College votes. John Kerry carried the state by 10 points in 2004; Al Gore carried the state by by 12 points in 2000. Early voting begins in California today, 10/6/08.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2f384669-1c1c-4781-a883-0833f1b6577e