Rate Erie County, PA
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 05:34:44 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Rate Erie County, PA		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Your rating?
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Tilt D		  
#6
Lean D		  
#7
Likely D		  
#8
Safe D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Rate Erie County, PA  (Read 409 times)
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,198


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 28, 2023, 08:33:04 PM »
title

Carluccio recently won here by a point over McCaffery.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,969
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 28, 2023, 08:51:56 PM »
Safe D if Socialist Fetterman won it Biden will win it
Logged
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,255
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 28, 2023, 09:44:55 PM »
Tilt D at the moment. Carluccio may have won it but it voted Democrat for every other race.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,969
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 28, 2023, 09:59:43 PM »
Whomever said Tilt R doesn't realize that Socialist Fetterman won it and Bob Casey Jr is in the ballot and easily won it in 2006/12/18 so Biden will carry it
Logged
DS0816
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,175
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 29, 2023, 03:52:28 AM »

Erie County has carried for all statewide winners of Pennsylvania for U.S. President, with exception in 1988, dating back to 1948.

With a 1992 Bill Clinton’s Democratic pickup of the presidency and, with it, Pennsylvania … Erie County gave the Democrats—from 1992 to 2012—higher percentage-points margins in the county vs. statewide performance. With a 2016 Donald Trump’s Republican pickup for U.S. President and the state … Erie County had slight Republican shading within its bellwether-to-the-state status in both 2016 and 2020.

It would be unusual for a Republican to carry Pennsylvania—which, along with Michigan and Wisconsin, is one of the nation’s top bellwether states—while not having followed suit with Erie County. That county, plus Northampton County, are likely to continue performing as the best bellwether counties specifically for the state of Pennsylvania.

From Wikipedia…
Logged
Red Wall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 736


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 29, 2023, 06:10:22 AM »
Tilt R not impossible Biden wins PA while losing it
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,969
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 29, 2023, 08:25:26 AM »
Quote from: Red Wall on November 29, 2023, 06:10:22 AM
Tilt R not impossible Biden wins PA while losing it

Lol Fetterman won it a socialist
Logged
Red Wall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 736


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 29, 2023, 09:34:06 AM »
Quote from: Mr.Barkari Sellers on November 29, 2023, 08:25:26 AM
Quote from: Red Wall on November 29, 2023, 06:10:22 AM
Tilt R not impossible Biden wins PA while losing it

Lol Fetterman won it a socialist
It's more dem downballot
Logged
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 29, 2023, 09:38:16 AM »
Seems like these are the places Biden is losing less vs 2020 than others but easy to see it flipping red.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,989
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 29, 2023, 09:39:21 AM »
Tilt D
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,969
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 29, 2023, 10:07:58 AM »
« Edited: November 29, 2023, 10:13:06 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Bob Casey Jr is on the ballot Biden won it already in 20, users don't understand that Biden isn't losing Eerie or PA with Bob Casey Jr whom won all his races by 6 or more pts and Biden and Obama easily won PA, OH, WI abd MI this is the same Sen map that reelected Obama and Biden in 2012
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,991
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 29, 2023, 07:21:34 PM »
Tossup, maybe tilt D.

I do think its days as a bellwether are going to be behind it soon.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.227 seconds with 13 queries.