Which of the last few elections do you consider to be closest to a "fluke"?
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Which of the last few elections do you consider to be closest to a "fluke"?
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Poll
Question: Which of the last few elections do you consider to be closest to a "fluke"?
#1
2016 Donald Trump def. Hillary Clinton
 
#2
2017 Doug Jones def. Roy Moore
 
#3
2018 Laura Kelly def. Kris Kobach
 
#4
2019 Andy Beshear def. Matt Bevin
 
#5
2020 Joe Biden def. Donald Trump
 
#6
2021 Glenn Youngkin def. Terry McAullife
 
#7
2022 Democrats' general performance in midterms
 
#8
Other (explain in comments)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 26

Author Topic: Which of the last few elections do you consider to be closest to a "fluke"?  (Read 868 times)
EJ24
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« on: March 12, 2023, 06:27:45 PM »

?
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Yu748Girl83
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« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2023, 08:16:45 PM »

2017 Alabama, I feel is the most obvious case of a fluke.
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RFK 2024
BasedSanta
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« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2023, 09:04:28 AM »

2016, 2017, and maybe 2021 (too early to tell).

2016: Uniquely bad candidates plus political malaise toward establishment leaders
2017: Roy Moore was a pedophile, typically safe Republican state
2021: Unusual political conditions with "war on woke", bad establishment D vs moderate R

2018 and 2019 were not that unique, as Kelly won re-election and Beshear is competitive this year.  2020 was the return to establishment dominance, and 2022 was remarkably similar to the last several cycles under Trumpism - close but with Democrats edging their dominance.
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TheElectoralBoobyPrize
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« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2023, 07:49:42 PM »

2016. Trump only won with narrow margins in purple states while losing the popular vote worse than W. in 2000 did.
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