Predict Miami-Dade in FL-GOV
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: 2-party vote share
#1
>60% R		  
#2
>57.5% R		  
#3
>55% R		  
#4
>52.5% R		  
#5
>50% R		  
#6
>50% D		  
#7
>52.5% D		  
#8
>55% D		  
#9
>57.5% D		  
#10
>60% D		  
#11
>62.5% D		  
#12
>65% D		  
#13
>67.5% D		  
#14
>70% D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: Predict Miami-Dade in FL-GOV  (Read 588 times)
Aurelius
Cody
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E: 3.35, S: 0.35

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« on: October 18, 2022, 11:57:50 AM »
Who wins Miami-Dade County in the governor's race, and by how much?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2022, 12:37:16 PM »
DeSantis by 5 or so.
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Southern Reactionary Dem
SouthernReactionaryDem
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2022, 12:41:55 PM »
Pure tossup.
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seskoog
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2022, 01:03:57 PM »
Crist wins by 3 points
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2022, 01:13:02 PM »
@Aurelius,
As much as I would like DeSantis to win Miami-Dade I still think Crist is going to win it 52-47.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2022, 02:06:44 PM »
Same margin as 2020. DeSantis's improvement over Trump 2020 will come from suburban areas elsewhere.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2022, 04:22:47 PM »
Quote from: Ad Astra on October 18, 2022, 02:06:44 PM
Same margin as 2020. DeSantis's improvement over Trump 2020 will come from suburban areas elsewhere.

IDK I think it's more likely to be a heavier swing in more Hispanic areas.  Most likely outcome is Crist only winning the >60% Biden counties at this point IMO.
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2022, 05:03:38 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on October 18, 2022, 04:22:47 PM
Quote from: Ad Astra on October 18, 2022, 02:06:44 PM
Same margin as 2020. DeSantis's improvement over Trump 2020 will come from suburban areas elsewhere.

IDK I think it's more likely to be a heavier swing in more Hispanic areas.  Most likely outcome is Crist only winning the >60% Biden counties at this point IMO.

Because Free Florida is dumb with the Democrat Parties corruption!
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2022, 05:50:01 PM »
If DeSantis does win by double digits, I think he will carry Miami-Dade County. The last time it went Republican in a gubernatorial election was in 2002, when Jeb Bush won reelection. Coincidentally, that is also the last Florida gubernatorial election in which there was a double-digit margin of victory.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2022, 06:39:54 PM »
Quote from: Orwell on October 18, 2022, 05:03:38 PM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on October 18, 2022, 04:22:47 PM
Quote from: Ad Astra on October 18, 2022, 02:06:44 PM
Same margin as 2020. DeSantis's improvement over Trump 2020 will come from suburban areas elsewhere.

IDK I think it's more likely to be a heavier swing in more Hispanic areas.  Most likely outcome is Crist only winning the >60% Biden counties at this point IMO.

Because Free Florida is dumb with the Democrat Parties corruption!

Got that right
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2022, 02:28:50 PM »
Crist +1 or so. I'd say 49-48% now.

DeSantis wins statewide by roughly ten.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2022, 03:49:41 PM »
Crist by a couple points, but I can see DeSantis eeking out a plurality.
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