How many Democrats win statewide in Arizona

[Tekken_Guy]

How many Democrats win statewide in Arizona this year? There are six D vs. R races this year. Governor, Senate, Secretary of State, Attorney General, Treasurer, and Superintendent.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Hoffman, Kelly, and Fontes

[xavier110]

Hoffman, Kelly, and Fontes

This is my hunch, though I also think Hamadeh underperforms Lake/maybe Finchem. 3 feels like a safe number, though 2 is probably safer!

I feel most comfortable in Hoffman and Kelly. The rest feel more like package deals, though it sounds like outside groups may carpet bomb Finchem in October. I am going to cry if and when Fontes loses by 5-10k votes like he did last time, lol.

I cannot stand the voters here. Especially if a contingent vote Kelly and R down ballot. Again. Hopefully that now changes when the lunatics are running at every level, not just the presidency…

[SnowLabrador]

Just Kelly, and I'm not even very confident about that. Like 55%.

[Spectator]

Anywhere from 2-5. I think Senate and Superintendent are the most likely by far, and the Gov/SOS/AG races are probably lumped together.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Hoffman, Kelly, and Fontes

This is my hunch, though I also think Hamadeh underperforms Lake/maybe Finchem. 3 feels like a safe number, though 2 is probably safer!

I feel most comfortable in Hoffman and Kelly. The rest feel more like package deals, though it sounds like outside groups may carpet bomb Finchem in October. I am going to cry if and when Fontes loses by 5-10k votes like he did last time, lol.

I cannot stand the voters here. Especially if a contingent vote Kelly and R down ballot. Again. Hopefully that now changes when the lunatics are running at every level, not just the presidency…

Hamadeh is a crook IIRC and could lose, but right now, I think AZ AG is gonna be the one we narrowly lose by like 5,000 - 15,000 votes.  I feel pretty good about Hoffman, Fontes, and especially Kelly's chances.  

While I think Arizona Governor isn't gonna be a blow-out or anything, I think Hobbs is going to underperform expectations and lose by about 5-7 points.  She's run such a horrible campaign and has done such an astoundingly poor job making the case against Lake (despite having a ton of material to work with) that I think we're rapidly approaching the point where this becomes a solidly Lean Republican race.

[Devout Centrist]

I cannot stand the voters here. Especially if a contingent vote Kelly and R down ballot. Again. Hopefully that now changes when the lunatics are running at every level, not just the presidency…

Idk man, lunatics have always run this state. What's new is people deciding to vote against them!

The state is vastly better politically compared to where it was a decade ago. Hell, look back at 2014 and compare that to the polls today. It's jaw dropping. 

[Progressive Pessimist]

I cannot stand the voters here. Especially if a contingent vote Kelly and R down ballot. Again. Hopefully that now changes when the lunatics are running at every level, not just the presidency…

Idk man, lunatics have always run this state. What's new is people deciding to vote against them!

The state is vastly better politically compared to where it was a decade ago. Hell, look back at 2014 and compare that to the polls today. It's jaw dropping. 

As mortifying as it would be for Lake to win, which is a possibility I am coming close to being resigned to, it would still probably be out of the closest gubernatorial race in the state since 2002. It is something that Ducey won in a landslide during a Democratic wave year while Lake will probably not do better than the low single digits against a supposedly weak opponent if she wins at all in a neutral year. So you're right. It is important to keep Arizona's political history in mind.

[dw93]

I think the Democrats are guaranteed a victory in the Senate race while the GOP is likely to win at least one of the other races.

[Hope For A New Era]

Any number is possible, most likely is 3 (Kelly, Hoffman, Fontes).

[Cyrusman]

I have the Republicans sweeping all of these except the senate.