POLL: NY GOV Democratic Primary - Hochul vs James

[MargieCat]

Does Hochul survive a primary challenge from Tish James?

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Safe Hochul if any other city progressive jumps in as well. Lean Hochul in a one-on-one, but it's very hard to knock off an incumbent Governor.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

Would I vote for Hochul? Hell no - she gets the same support she gave the Democratic nominee.

Will she win? Almost certainly, bar Suozzi splitting votes and uniting behind the progressive candidate.

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

I would support Tish James in the primary, but Hochul in the general when she inevitably wins the primary.

[Fetterman my beloved]

Hochul wins, even as she’s not my preference for the nominee.

[Sir Mohamed]

Hochul is favored. I wouldn't rule out James winning though. That said, I didn't expect her to run tbh.

[Lognog]

Safe Hochul if any other city progressive jumps in as well. Lean Hochul in a one-on-one, but it's very hard to knock off an incumbent Governor.

that's what tripped me up in the question. Head to head honestly I think James wins just because of the NYC, however, someone like Williams jumping in will make this safe Hochul

[pikachu]

Depends on if Williams runs, but as I’ve said for awhile, I think Hochul’s a but overrated as far as her electoral prospects. She’s never been a particularly strong state-wide candidate (Her NYC performances in both of the LG runs were pretty bad for someone with the full backing of the party. I’m too lazy to run the numbers, but I’d bet that James outran her in 2018 despite being in a 3-way race.) and James strengths electorally match pretty well with Hochul’s weaknesses. Also, imo the incumbency factor is a bit overrated in this case. Hochul’s still relatively unknown, James has good name rec and won’t cause the establishment to circle the wagons around Hochul, and Hochul’s will have only had two months to govern while not in campaign mode which kills the gravitas of holding the office a bit.

[Non Swing Voter]

James hasn't done anything except bash the NRA and go after Cuomo.  Nothing against anyone named Trump.  On that alone she loses.