Who is more vulnerable?

[Sir Mohamed]

Both races are Likely D in my books. If forced to chose who's more likely to lose, I'd pick Mills. Not by much though. What does Atlas think?

[Telesquare]

Easily Mills

At this point Lamont is completely safe. Mills is heavily favored, but a loss is at least possible.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Neither, acollons support for Filibuster of VR is gonna have a devestating effect on Polquin and LePage, the only poll had LePage losing 45/38 as soon as Collins startubf to block VR, she lives in ME not WV, Ernst and Capito can Filibuster it, not Collins

[President Johnson]

Mills, though neither is going to lose.

If you asked the question two years ago in the fall of 2019, I would have said Lamont as his approval ratings were pretty poor at the time.

[SnowLabrador]

Mills. Maine is Tilt D, Connecticut Likely D.

[smoltchanov]

Mills. Leans D - Maine, Likely D- Connecticut (for now)

[beesley]

Easily Mills

At this point Lamont is completely safe. Mills is heavily favored, but a loss is at least possible.

I'd agree with this take.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Mills, no doubt.

[MT Treasurer]

The only way this would even be debatable is if Mills had considerable crossover appeal (not the case, especially relative to her first run in 2018) and Lamont was one of the most unpopular governors in the nation (not the case — his post-COVID numbers in particular have been in the ~55% to ~60% range and are by no means comparable to Malloy's absymal ratings). Otherwise, no Republican is winning a statewide race in CT before ME. I think even CT-05 flips before CT-GOV.

[Young Conservative]

Mills easily.

[GregTheGreat657]

Mills, because her state is more competitive. If Lamont were as unpopular as he were in 2018, he would come quite lose to closing, but the rise in his approval ratings during COVID, and Connecticut's bluer lean, make him less vulnerable.