Which former Senator is more likely to win their primary?

[Tekken_Guy]

Which former U.S. Senator is more likely to win their primary for governor?

[Roll Roons]

I said Perdue, though I still think Kemp is more likely than not to win.

The most recent poll had Heller at only 9%. I know there were a lot of undecideds but that is a really bad result for a former US Senator and longtime state politician. I guess most people just don't like him that much.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Perdue by far. I think he's favoured in fact.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Purdue is an easy choice here.

Perdue by far. I think he's favoured in fact.

I wouldn't go that far, yet. I'm not sure how strong Kemp's incumbency is though. Incumbent governors being primaried certainly isn't unheard of, that much is clear. (See also: Bob Wise in 2004)

[GregTheGreat657]

Perdue, because he is more likely to get the Trump endorsement

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Purdue is an easy choice here.

Perdue by far. I think he's favoured in fact.

I wouldn't go that far, yet. I'm not sure how strong Kemp's incumbency is though. Incumbent governors being primaried certainly isn't unheard of, that much is clear. (See also: Bob Wise in 2004)

I think a primary challenger to an incumbent governor getting within single digits months before peak primary season and with only about half of voters knowing Trump has endorsed Perdue is a really bad sign for Kemp.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Purdue is an easy choice here.

Perdue by far. I think he's favoured in fact.

I wouldn't go that far, yet. I'm not sure how strong Kemp's incumbency is though. Incumbent governors being primaried certainly isn't unheard of, that much is clear. (See also: Bob Wise in 2004)

I think a primary challenger to an incumbent governor getting within single digits months before peak primary season and with only about half of voters knowing Trump has endorsed Perdue is a really bad sign for Kemp.

There's no evidence (yet) that people would turn on Kemp if they knew Trump endorsed Perdue, though.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Purdue is an easy choice here.

Perdue by far. I think he's favoured in fact.

I wouldn't go that far, yet. I'm not sure how strong Kemp's incumbency is though. Incumbent governors being primaried certainly isn't unheard of, that much is clear. (See also: Bob Wise in 2004)

I think a primary challenger to an incumbent governor getting within single digits months before peak primary season and with only about half of voters knowing Trump has endorsed Perdue is a really bad sign for Kemp.

There's no evidence (yet) that people would turn on Kemp if they knew Trump endorsed Perdue, though.

There were a few polls done that show Perdue ahead of Kemp when all respondents are told Trump endorsed Perdue.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Purdue is an easy choice here.

Perdue by far. I think he's favoured in fact.

I wouldn't go that far, yet. I'm not sure how strong Kemp's incumbency is though. Incumbent governors being primaried certainly isn't unheard of, that much is clear. (See also: Bob Wise in 2004)

I think a primary challenger to an incumbent governor getting within single digits months before peak primary season and with only about half of voters knowing Trump has endorsed Perdue is a really bad sign for Kemp.

There's no evidence (yet) that people would turn on Kemp if they knew Trump endorsed Perdue, though.

There were a few polls done that show Perdue ahead of Kemp when all respondents are told Trump endorsed Perdue.

What was the margin in said polls?

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Purdue is an easy choice here.

Perdue by far. I think he's favoured in fact.

I wouldn't go that far, yet. I'm not sure how strong Kemp's incumbency is though. Incumbent governors being primaried certainly isn't unheard of, that much is clear. (See also: Bob Wise in 2004)

I think a primary challenger to an incumbent governor getting within single digits months before peak primary season and with only about half of voters knowing Trump has endorsed Perdue is a really bad sign for Kemp.

There's no evidence (yet) that people would turn on Kemp if they knew Trump endorsed Perdue, though.

There were a few polls done that show Perdue ahead of Kemp when all respondents are told Trump endorsed Perdue.

What was the margin in said polls?

I think it was around 8-12%

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Purdue is an easy choice here.

Perdue by far. I think he's favoured in fact.

I wouldn't go that far, yet. I'm not sure how strong Kemp's incumbency is though. Incumbent governors being primaried certainly isn't unheard of, that much is clear. (See also: Bob Wise in 2004)

I think a primary challenger to an incumbent governor getting within single digits months before peak primary season and with only about half of voters knowing Trump has endorsed Perdue is a really bad sign for Kemp.

There's no evidence (yet) that people would turn on Kemp if they knew Trump endorsed Perdue, though.

There were a few polls done that show Perdue ahead of Kemp when all respondents are told Trump endorsed Perdue.

What was the margin in said polls?

I think it was around 8-12%

Ah, so not good for Kemp, but also not catastrophic either.
This is probably the best chance for a gubernatorial primarying that we've seen in a while. I guess I'd still rate it a Tossup but as stated before, Kemp is clearly in troubled waters.
Time will tell if he survives.

[Vice President Christian Man]

Purdue but neither are favored in the primary