Montana in 2024

[Schiff for Senate]

I know neither scenario is likely by any means - but what if it were...?

My personal guess is that with Bullock on the ballot MT goes red with 50-55%, probably about 53-54%. With Tester on the ballot, it'd go red by 50-55% as well, but on the lower side, probably closer to 51% or 52%. And it seems that Tester, an incumbent senator, is far more likely to be chosen than Bullock - a governor who left office three years ago and ran unsucessfully for the Senate.

[here2view]

Both would probably result in Trump getting around 55%, maybe Tester being on the ballot instead of Bullock gives the Dems an additional point or two at most.

I voted Bullock as more likely to be selected. It wouldn't make sense to throw away a senate seat by nominating Tester in 2024, considering how he's running then and has a chance at winning.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MT, OH, AZ, On, and MO split their votes between Prez, Gov and Sen in 2012/18

We will see about, OH, NC, IA, GA and FL splitting votes in 2022 between Gov and Sen, states split their votes between H and Gov and Prez all the time, it's becoming a thing now

It can happen, should Ds hold the H in 2022, no one but Daines and Gianforte have been able to beat Bullock and Tester, the Rs have Zinke and Rosendale whom are very weak like Vance and Mandel are for OH Sen 2022