Next democratic state

[Samof94]

Which of the following “red states” is most likely to vote Democratic first?

[Neptunium]

TeXaS

[Catalyst138]

1. Texas
2. Kansas
3. SC
4. Utah
5. Mississippi

I don’t see Mississippi going Dem for a very long time.

[Skill and Chance]

Texas, but it could get leapfrogged by Alaska or even Kansas if the dramatic Republican swing among Tejanos continues.

SC and MS aren't obviously moving left.  UT is, but Dems are starting in too deep a hole. 

[Agonized-Statism]

Watch it be Wyoming or something

[pbrower2a]

Texas, because Texas is becoming more a microcosm of the USA than just about any other state. Texas is not in any region of the United States and is not a region in itself. It straddles regions. Texas used to be more rural, uneducated, and poor than the rest of America; that is over.

Seat-of-the pants urban comparisons for Texas' largest non-suburban cities for their politics:

Houston -- Chicago
Dallas -- San Diego
San Antonio -- Phoenix
Austin -- Boston
El Paso -- Albuquerque
Fort Worth -- Indianapolis
Lubbock -- Tucson?
Amarillo -- Fort Wayne
Corpus Christi -- Mobile?
Beaumont -- Baton Rouge
Wichita Falls, Abilene -- Wichita
Midland, Odessa -- no real analogues except each other

[Lincoln Republican]

Texas, making it all that much more difficult for the Republicans to cobble together a majority in the Electoral College.

[brucejoel99]

TX

KS



SC/MS/UT

[WD]

Either TX or KS. It’s not listed in the poll, but I think there’s a good chance Alaska will be competitive in a few cycles. 

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Write-In: Alaska

[Big Abraham]

Texas, although if the Rio Grande Valley doesn't fall as neatly in the Dem column as it did pre-2020, it won't be flipping as soon as liberals hope/anticipate

[_.]

Which of the following “red states” is most likely to vote Democratic first?

This would've been much more interesting if Texas wasn't there lol.

[Devils30]

If the GOP keeps going in the white nationalist direction it makes a state like Utah interesting to watch as its local party is quite different.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obviously, it's KS, Gov Kelly can win Re-election

[Samof94]

Write-In: Alaska

They could do so in a 1992 type environment.

[TDAS04]

Texas or Alaska.

[pbrower2a]

Alaska, like Texas, relies significantly upon oil for revenue and jobs. The Kansas Republican Party is splintering into a Trump-like faction and a more moderate section Should the moderate wing of the  Kansas Republican Party go D, then twilight could be approaching for what remains of the Kansas GOP. Kansas' population growth, such as it is, is in the Kansas suburbs of Kansas City... and those look much like Suburbia elsewhere in America.