Rate Colorado
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Rate Colorado		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Your rating
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Toss up		  
#6
Tilt D		  
#7
Lean D		  
#8
Likely D		  
#9
Safe D		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 114

Author Topic: Rate Colorado  (Read 1224 times)
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
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E: 1.48, S: 1.30

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« on: September 12, 2020, 11:13:31 AM »
?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2020, 11:14:28 AM »
Likely D, very very close to being safe for Biden, but just likely out of caution. If Biden is still in the same position in CO in a month, I'll move it to Safe D.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2020, 11:18:27 AM »
Safe D. I wonder who voted toss-up? Hmmm...

I genuinely wonder how SirWoodbury would rate Oregon.
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Alcibiades
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E: -4.39, S: -6.96

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« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2020, 11:20:44 AM »
Safe D.
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Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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E: -8.00, S: -7.65

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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2020, 11:21:47 AM »
Safe D - Biden wins by low double digits if I had to guess (10-12%).
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TDAS04
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« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2020, 12:56:46 PM »
Safe D.
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woodley park
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2020, 01:16:14 PM »
Safe D.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2020, 01:56:57 PM »
Biden by 5.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2020, 01:59:38 PM »

I'm thinking more like 8. The national environment is looking better for Democrats, and while it's possible CO doesn't trend to the left like's it's continued to do in recent history, it's definately taking a hard turn rightwards
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2020, 02:00:47 PM »
Quote from: Fivey Fox says Oregon could flip in a Biden landslide! on September 12, 2020, 11:18:27 AM
Safe D. I wonder who voted toss-up? Hmmm...
I genuinely wonder how SirWoodbury would rate Oregon.

You are worried about toss-up, when someone voted Safe R.
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Smash255
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« Reply #10 on: September 12, 2020, 02:26:12 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on September 12, 2020, 02:00:47 PM
Quote from: Fivey Fox says Oregon could flip in a Biden landslide! on September 12, 2020, 11:18:27 AM
Safe D. I wonder who voted toss-up? Hmmm...
I genuinely wonder how SirWoodbury would rate Oregon.

You are worried about toss-up, when someone voted Safe R.

The Safe R vote wasn't there when the tossup post was made.   

  Safe D, Biden by 10 or so
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here2view
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« Reply #11 on: September 12, 2020, 03:06:38 PM »
Safe D. Biden has a better chance of winning by 10+ than Trump does of winning outright.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: September 12, 2020, 03:08:37 PM »
Either safe or likely Biden, voted safe.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: September 12, 2020, 03:13:09 PM »
LOL, of course, Horus liked/recommended your post. Anyways, Biden is going to win Colorado by more than 10%.
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Dr. Arch
Arch
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« Reply #14 on: September 12, 2020, 03:29:11 PM »
CO is as gone for Republicans as VA. In other words, very gone. Safe D.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #15 on: September 12, 2020, 03:30:37 PM »
Quote from: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on September 12, 2020, 03:13:09 PM
LOL, of course, Horus liked/recommended your post. Anyways, Biden is going to win Colorado by more than 10%.

I don't think that's a given. I could definately see a Biden + 8/9 margin in CO.
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Coastal_Elite
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E: -5.81, S: -7.48

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« Reply #16 on: September 12, 2020, 05:45:01 PM »
Safe D
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redjohn
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« Reply #17 on: September 12, 2020, 07:00:35 PM »
Likely D, closer to safe. Biden probably wins by high-single digits.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #18 on: September 12, 2020, 08:23:35 PM »
Obvious 'Safe D' rating is obvious.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #19 on: September 12, 2020, 08:32:55 PM »
It's interesting how Nevada and Florida are "tightening" because of latinx voters, supposedly, yet Colorado isn't.  You'd think if that was an issue, Colorado would be impacted as well.
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Sbane
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« Reply #20 on: September 12, 2020, 11:53:47 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on September 12, 2020, 08:32:55 PM
It's interesting how Nevada and Florida are "tightening" because of latinx voters, supposedly, yet Colorado isn't.  You'd think if that was an issue, Colorado would be impacted as well.

Colorado is trending the way it is trending mainly due to the growth of college educated voters along the front range metro corridor. Growing non-white voters in the Denver area contribute as well, but areas in Southern Colorado with a large Hispanic population actually swung to Trump.

That is why this state is safe D. Too many college educated voters for Trump to win. The only question remaining is whether it votes by double digits for Biden.
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Jay 🏳️‍⚧️
trippytropicana
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E: -2.06, S: -4.00

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« Reply #21 on: September 12, 2020, 11:57:12 PM »
Safe D. I can't imagine how Biden could screw up hard enough to even make it competitive, let alone him losing.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #22 on: September 13, 2020, 12:15:25 AM »
Safe Democratic, like others have said. For any Republican to win Colorado, they must do well in the Denver metropolitan area-namely, Arapahoe, Broomfield, and Jefferson Counties. Moreover, they must also carry Larimer County (Ft. Collins). The last time these four counties voted Republican was in 2004 for George W. Bush, who is also the last Republican to date to carry Colorado.

Trump's performance in these counties in 2016 was the worst for a Republican in decades at the presidential level-he received only 38% in Broomfield County, 39% in Arapahoe County, 42% in Jefferson County, and 43% in Larimer County. The statewide margin was only close (~5%) due to Hillary Clinton losing votes to Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, and Evan McMullin. The recent Republican trend in the ancestrally Democratic counties of Southern Colorado-Pueblo, Las Animas, and Huerfano-which voted Republican for the first time since Nixon in 2016, and in the Eastern Plains, will be nowhere near enough to counteract Democratic gains in the Denver metropolitan area.

Moreover, I expect Biden to run ahead of Clinton in Weld, Douglas, Mesa, and El Paso Counties; to regain Pueblo and Huerfano Counties; and to win Garfield and Chaffee Counties, which went narrowly for Trump last time. So there is no reasonable pathway to victory for Trump here. As I've said before, Biden will probably win Colorado by around 10-11%, the same margin as Jared Polis over Walker Stapleton in 2018.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #23 on: September 13, 2020, 03:59:42 AM »
Safe D, Hickenlooper wins
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Battista Minola 1616
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E: -5.55, S: -1.57

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« Reply #24 on: September 13, 2020, 07:54:52 AM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on September 12, 2020, 08:32:55 PM
It's interesting how Nevada and Florida are "tightening" because of latinx voters, supposedly, yet Colorado isn't.  You'd think if that was an issue, Colorado would be impacted as well.

There is a ton wrong in your post, but let me just point out the most obvious:

Mexican Americans != Cuban Americans (and Puerto Rican Americans)
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