Are Congressional polls for the presidency a mirage?
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Are Congressional polls for the presidency a mirage?
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Question: The congressional district polls suggest Biden is up +12-13
#1
Yes
#2
No
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Author Topic: Are Congressional polls for the presidency a mirage?  (Read 218 times)
SaneDemocrat
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« on: August 02, 2020, 12:44:15 PM »

The national and state polls imply like Biden+8.Congressional district polls regular show Biden over performing Hillary by 10+ .
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YE
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« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2020, 12:52:33 PM »

The state polls imply more than Biden +8 with Biden up at least high singles in PA, MI, WI, and MN and up by a surprising amount in FL while also within striking distance in AK and MT. Even nationally we’ve had plenty of Biden +14/15 polls; nationally the race just feels tighter to some in here because Ispos/D4P/MC have been somewhat on the low end of the spectrum of Biden’s lead and happen to be done weekly, which diluted the monthly (or less frequent) CNN/Fox/Quinnipiac/NYT polls.
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bagelman
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« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2020, 02:08:25 PM »

Mirage? Not really, but there will be Biden/Congressional R seats especially in wealthier areas.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2020, 02:19:35 PM »
« Edited: August 02, 2020, 02:23:34 PM by Buckhead Kelly »

Mirage? Not really, but there will be Biden/Congressional R seats especially in wealthier areas.

I'm sure there will be but none really stick out to me except maybe NY-24, OH-12, and PA-01 if Fitzpatrick holds on.
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