Will Trump recieve more raw votes than he did in 2016?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Seems like this election will be higher turnout than 2016, barring something that bars a bunch of epople from voting, but the general consensus seems to be that Trump is likely to do worse in 2020 than in 2016

[Ferguson97]

Yeah I think he’ll get just slightly less (like <10,000)

[redjohn]

Yes, he will receive many more. For two reasons:
1. There will be far less third-party vote this election.
2. There will be higher turnout this election.

Biden will also receive many more votes that HRC.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

I think he gets less.  Around 44% of the vote on turnout of 140 million.

[Buzz]

Probably a "few" more, but similar to the 2016 total.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I have no clue how to answer this question, so like everyone I will just throw out a guess:

Roughly 60 million. Less than 62 million.

Between more Trump voters dying than new Trump voters being minted (I have no idea if this is valid assumption, but a lot of Trump country is rural, poor, and slowly depopulating*), Obama-Trump voters coming home, moderate Republicans turning against him, and depressed turnout in uncontested red states (I don't know, maybe, maybe not, it's so hard to say), 60 million seems like a reasonable number.

* Source:
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/u-s-population-change-by-county-2010-2018/

[Xing]

Yes, he will receive many more. For two reasons:
1. There will be far less third-party vote this election.
2. There will be higher turnout this election.

Biden will also receive many more votes that HRC.

Pretty much this. Trump probably gets more votes even if he loses badly.

[SN2903]

Yes way more. I predict 68 to 70 million.

[SaneDemocrat]

Yes way more. I predict 68 to 70 million.

NO He's not W

[SingingAnalyst]

Yes, he will receive many more. For two reasons:
1. There will be far less third-party vote this election.
2. There will be higher turnout this election.

Biden will also receive many more votes that HRC.

^^^This. Almost everyone I know who voted Trump in 2016 still supports him today, and even if just a few Johnson voters switch to Trump, that will increase Trump's total.

[BlueGrassKentuckian]

I think 95% of people who voted for him in 2016 will vote for him again, millions more will come out due to increased turnout... I say he gets about 1-2 million more votes than 2016.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Yes way more. I predict 68 to 70 million.

NO He's not W

Had Trump put himself on the front lines of COVID, mask on, praising all the healthcare workers for their tireless efforts, addressing the nation with words of hope and encouragement - you know, like W would have done - he might now be in a position to receive 68 million votes.

But we all know he's incapable of that.

[Camaro33]

I think it's more likely than not. If I had to guess 65.2 million votes. I'd honestly be shocked if he even surpasses Obama 2012 numbers.

[Senator Spark]

Yes, he will receive many more. For two reasons:
1. There will be far less third-party vote this election.
2. There will be higher turnout this election.

Biden will also receive many more votes that HRC.

[Non Swing Voter]

I think he'll get slightly less.  population growth favors Democrats and Biden does better with middle of the road voters who slightly favored Trump last time.  I bet he gets around 62,000,000 votes though I could see him also getting slightly higher than he got last time too. 

I bet 6 or 7 million more people vote this year and almost all of that raw number goes to Biden.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, he will get his exact poll numbers as in 2016, but Bidrn will get 71M plus due to 10 M voters alone in LAX, and Chic and NYC whom represent the economic conditions of the country along with SF.

The poll that has Biden up by 8 is right if it's a 71 to 63 M election.  It's just plain math

[538Electoral]

69,498,517