2020 Tipping Point Senate Seat

[Peanut]

GA is the likeliest bet out of these.

[Politician]

GA--I just don't know how competitive this state will be. I don't know if 2018 represents an acceleration of its Dem trend or a year defined by an abnormally compose electorate. I think that's unlikely.

TX--Same as the above, and also the Dems don't have a strong candidate yet. Tomlinson is way better of a recruit than Hegar. You can't keep running on a commercial that's several years old. However, if O'Rourke jumped in I think that it could vault ahead of Georgia in competitiveness.

GA and TX's electorates were more white and more Republican than 2016. White college educated soft Republicans and independents are abandoning the Republican Party and both races will be highly contested with youth and minority Presidential turnout.

By like 1%.

[mcmikk]

I can very easily see the Senate being a tie after 2020, but if I had to pick an actual race I’d go with GA.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Georgia.