Brindisi or Fitzpatrick?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 12, 2024, 06:21:11 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Brindisi or Fitzpatrick?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which Congressman is more likely to win re-relection?
#1
Anthony Brindisi (D, NY-22)		  
#2
Brian Fitzpatrick (R, PA-01)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 28

Author Topic: Brindisi or Fitzpatrick?  (Read 613 times)
Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror
NYDem
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,273
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2020, 01:37:53 PM »
Both Anthony Brindisi and Brian Fitzpatrick represent districts which are trending away from their respective parties. Brindisi's district is (non-Atlas) redder than Fitzpatrick's district is blue, but the national vote should also be a few points more Democratic this year to even it out.

I think both will win re-election, but I think Fitzpatrick is less likely.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,780


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 01:39:56 PM »
Brindisi and it's not even close, although I think Fitzpatrick will hang on.
Logged
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,225


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 01:40:58 PM »
Fitzpatrick.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,549


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 01:41:58 PM »
Definitely Brindisi.  He will face a far smaller headwind at the top of the ticket (Biden will run about even in this district or just a few points behind).
Logged
Skunk
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,454
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.03, S: -9.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 01:45:33 PM »
Unfortunately Brindisi. REAL AMERICA supports Claudia Tenney though.
Logged
Kuumo
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,080


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 02:01:59 PM »
Brindisi, but it's a close call. Both have a 70-75% chance of winning.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2020, 04:13:54 AM »
This aged horribly.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2020, 05:17:52 AM »

What happened?
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2020, 05:18:46 AM »

Brindisi is trailing Tenney by double digits.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2020, 05:23:06 AM »

My God! How is Fitzpatrick faring?
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,125
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2020, 05:53:58 AM »

Currently at 64% Smiley

Of course, his lead will narrow as absentees are tallied. But I did the math, and even if the remaining ballots go 75% D (not a given, since he will get a decent number of ticket splitters), he'd still lead by 8000 votes. So freaking happy.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.224 seconds with 12 queries.