Rate Baker County, GA

[christian peralta]

Baker was an ultra democratic county in the early 20th century, the margins reached 90% in some elections. Trump flipped the county in 2016 with a comfortable margin, in the midterm elections of this year, specifically in the governors race, it voted for Brian Kemp by a large margin than Trump when he carried the county (58%-41%)

Year   Republican   Democratic   Third parties
2016   53.8% 775   45.1% 650   1.0% 15
2012   49.3% 785   49.9% 794   0.8% 12
2008   49.0% 828   50.1% 846   0.9% 15
2004   46.5% 821   53.0% 936   0.5% 8
2000   40.5% 615   58.8% 893   0.7% 11
1996   27.7% 408   64.8% 955   7.6% 112
1992   26.6% 391   58.9% 864   14.5% 213
1988   46.7% 629   52.5% 707   0.9% 12
1984   49.4% 675   50.6% 691   
1980   32.6% 510   66.2% 1,035   1.2% 19
1976   20.8% 305   79.2% 1,162   
1972   73.7% 965   26.3% 345   
1968   5.8% 99   32.0% 548   62.3% 1,067
1964   60.3% 914   39.6% 600   0.1% 1
1960   8.4% 66   91.6% 720   
1956   3.9% 32   96.1% 783   
1952   13.4% 155   86.6% 1,005   
1948   2.5% 7   77.0% 218   20.5% 58
1944   6.1% 31   93.9% 478   
1940   5.1% 30   94.7% 557   0.2% 1
1936   2.1% 13   97.7% 599   0.2% 1
1932   0.3% 2   99.2% 647   0.5% 3

[Podgy the Bear]

If you're a Democrat, who cares?  It's a dying county in which the current population (3100) is only half of what it was in 1950.  African-Americans have and continue to leave these areas in droves,

If you're a Republican, you would be happy that the vote percentages are increasing.  But the percentage changes reflects this outmigration.  More significant is that the total vote continues to drop (for example, 1700 in 2004 and 1400 in 2016).  Thankfully, there is no longer any county unit vote to justify any electoral resources.

For Georgia Democrats, the focus is to drive up the margins in the metro areas (Atlanta by far and to some extent Savannah and Augusta).   Counties like Cobb, Gwinnett, and Henry broke through cleanly for the Democrats, and it's now time to target the more exurban counties like Cherokee and Fayette.  

2018 was the year in which the suburban switch to the Democrats nationally may portend a significant trend for the future.