Rate FL-15
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What rating does it merit?
#1
Safe Republican		  
#2
Likely Republican		  
#3
Lean Republican		  
#4
Toss-up		  
#5
Lean Democratic		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 27

Author Topic: Rate FL-15  (Read 569 times)
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

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« on: August 29, 2018, 08:53:03 AM »
Attorney Ross Spano vs. Citrus Consultant Kristen Carlson
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2018, 08:59:43 AM »
Tilt/Lean Republican
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Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
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Posts: 22,047


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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2018, 09:04:26 AM »
Likely R, despite it looking competitive on paper. Florida Dems don't have any track record in this area.
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Donerail
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,329
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2018, 09:07:21 AM »
Lean R feels right — Spano is a bit weaker than Combee, and Carlson has a good background for the district.
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ajc0918
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,931
United States


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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2018, 09:44:06 AM »
Gillum could drive minority turnout in the Brandon/Riverview portion of the district which would be needed to flip this seat. Additionally Carlson may be able to capitalize on her rural / ag ties which Spano doesn't have. Combee would've been a better fit since he's from Polk county. Tilt or Lean R.
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,504
Ukraine
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2018, 09:48:52 AM »
Lean R
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

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« Reply #6 on: August 30, 2018, 08:02:02 PM »
If Adam Putnam won, I would say Safe R because it's his district, but now with DeSantis I'd say Likely R. This could be a sleeper
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