Which state could President Trump most likely get at least 70% of the vote?

[Thunder98]

WV and WV voted 68% for Trump in 2016. Which state is most likely to reach 70% for President in 2020? His approval ratings are in 60's in these states according to Morning Consult.

https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump/

[Senator Spark]

WV

[Thunder98]

Definitely West Virginia. It’s probably not going to happen, but the votes just aren’t there for him in WY. WY also tends to trend against the incumbent president's party in their reelection, and I doubt 2020 will be any different in that regard.

Trump, Romney and Bush (2004) eached received around 68-69% of the vote in Wyoming.

[Medal506]

Wyoming, Alabama, Oklahoma, (possibly Montana) these are places that I think could go to Trump with 70 percent of the vote.

[MillennialModerate]

Wyoming, Alabama, Oklahoma, (possibly Montana) these are places that I think could go to Trump with 70 percent of the vote.

Agreed on all except Montana.

Montana seems to be relatively reasonable as conservative states goes

[Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries]

WV

The Democrats have offended WV citizens so badly that 80% isn't out of the question.

[ON Progressive]

Wyoming, Alabama, Oklahoma, (possibly Montana) these are places that I think could go to Trump with 70 percent of the vote.

Wyoming - possible

Alabama - Not gonna happen, the black population basically guarantees any Alabama Democrat will get at least 34% of the vote no matter what.

Oklahoma - The OKC/Tulsa areas are trending D, which makes it pretty difficult for this to happen.

Montana - Absolutely not going to happen. No Republican has even broken 60% in any of the elections this millennium, and the state has been competitive in recent memory unlike the other three.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wyoming-maybe.

WV- no way. There will probably be a slight democratic shift in 2020, I think Trump carries the state by around 36 points.

[Mr. Smith]

Wyoming.

The state has long been one of the strongest, if not the strongest R state in the nation, and Trump isn't a bad fit either.

Also helps that Pence praised their native son as a "model Veep".

[NewYorkExpress]

It'll happen in both West Virginia and Wyoming.

They're really R states, and both are very amenable to R incumbents.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Wyoming, Alabama, Oklahoma, (possibly Montana) these are places that I think could go to Trump with 70 percent of the vote.

Wyoming - possible

Alabama - Not gonna happen, the black population basically guarantees any Alabama Democrat will get at least 34% of the vote no matter what.

Oklahoma - The OKC/Tulsa areas are trending D, which makes it pretty difficult for this to happen.

Montana - Absolutely not going to happen. No Republican has even broken 60% in any of the elections this millennium, and the state has been competitive in recent memory unlike the other three.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

According to Cook PVI, Wyoming and Utah are tied for being the most Republican states in the country at R+25.

So, it's possible in Wyoming.

However, I think that because of the Democratic Party's stance on coal, it's slightly more likely for West Virginia to vote 70% for Trump.

[DPKdebator]

Both have a roughly equal chance of happening, but I'll give the edge to Wyoming since there's a greater gap in the two-party vote.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Wyoming, Alabama, Oklahoma, (possibly Montana) these are places that I think could go to Trump with 70 percent of the vote.

Wyoming - possible

Alabama - Not gonna happen, the black population basically guarantees any Alabama Democrat will get at least 34% of the vote no matter what.

Oklahoma - The OKC/Tulsa areas are trending D, which makes it pretty difficult for this to happen.

Montana - Absolutely not going to happen. No Republican has even broken 60% in any of the elections this millennium, and the state has been competitive in recent memory unlike the other three.

[wesmoorenerd]

WV. WV has had a consistent R trend for a long time now and given the political geography of the state (coal country, no major cities) I don't necessarily see that trend stopping. Not to mention Trump's populism makes him a great fit for the state. Wyoming is super Republican and conservative but Trump doesn't have the same major appeal there, and Wyoming hasn't necessarily been trending in either direction that I know of.

[wesmoorenerd]

Wyoming, Alabama, Oklahoma, (possibly Montana) these are places that I think could go to Trump with 70 percent of the vote.

Wyoming - possible

Alabama - Not gonna happen, the black population basically guarantees any Alabama Democrat will get at least 34% of the vote no matter what.

Oklahoma - The OKC/Tulsa areas are trending D, which makes it pretty difficult for this to happen.

Montana - Absolutely not going to happen. No Republican has even broken 60% in any of the elections this millennium, and the state has been competitive in recent memory unlike the other three.